Bonds and Stocks Might Not Be Singing to the Same Trump Tune
- Divergence between bond and equity implied volatility swells
- Real yields have fueled 10-year selloff post-election
Bradshaw: Record Markets Await Trump Policy Signals
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MOVE, VIX. Get out the way.
The CBOE Volatility Index, a measure of the implied volatility of the S&P 500 Index commonly known as the VIX, closed below 11 for the first time since July 2014 on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Merrill Lynch’s Option Volatility Estimate Index (MOVE) -- a yield curve weighted measure of implied volatility in U.S. Treasuries -- jumped to 77, sending the ratio between these two measures to levels consistent with the 2013 taper tantrum.