Yuan Forecasters Caught Out by Tumble See No Reason to Fret

  • Analysts expect less than 0.5 percent drop by end of 2016
  • PBOC will step in to calm markets if needed, Westpac says
Photographer: SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg
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Forecasters racing to catch up with the yuan’s slide are reluctant to badge the currency a one-way trade.

The speed of the yuan’s recent tumble will slow, and policy makers will step in to overwhelm speculators if bearish bets increase, according to a Bloomberg survey of 21 foreign-exchange traders and analysts. The currency will weaken less than half a percent against the dollar to 6.8 through the rest of the year and hold its ground versus an index of trading partners into 2017, the poll results show.