Economics

Trump Tax Plan Seen Adding Jobs, Then Erasing Them Long-Term

  • Clinton’s tax plan would do the opposite, analysis finds
  • Wharton study is latest entry in ‘dynamic scoring’ debate

Informational handouts are displayed during a WorkSource Seattle-King County aerospace, maritime, and manufacturing job fair in Seattle on Oct. 6, 2015.

Photographer: David Ryder/Bloomberg
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Donald Trump’s proposed tax plan could provide a short-term boost to the economy before costing more than 690,000 jobs over a decade, while Hillary Clinton’s plan could send job-creation in the opposite direction -- first down, then up, according to a new policy report.

The main reason for the differing outcomes is the plans’ effects on the federal debt, according to the analysis by economists and computer engineers at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania -- which didn’t consider the candidates’ spending proposals. Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, proposes tax cuts for businesses and individuals, while Clinton, the Democratic nominee, calls for tax increases on the highest earners.