Even With Trump, Democrats Face Very Long Odds for Winning House

  • Democrats would need a veritable landslide to win 30 seats
  • Kansas, Indiana and California seats are among bellwethers

House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi speaks on June 29, 2016, in San Francisco.

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Democrats hoping to seize the U.S. House majority this fall need Donald Trump’s help. More precisely, they need a historic anti-Trump landslide.

That’s because to have any chance of winning the 218 seats needed for a majority, Democrats would have to defeat supposedly "safe" Republicans like Representative Kevin Yoder in Kansas. That’s no easy task, since Yoder won re-election by 20 percentage points in 2014.