Tea Leaves

Who Will Win South Carolina and Nevada? Here Are Seven Credible Predictions

Statistical models, betting markets, and the Internet weigh in. The most common pairing: Trump and Clinton.
Photographer: JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty Images

Iowa went to Ted Cruz and (by a razor-thin margin) Hillary Clinton. New Hampshire went to Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. Now all eyes turn to Saturday's contests, the South Carolina Republican primary and Nevada Democratic caucuses, where candidates are hoping they can establish momentum to build upon for “Super Tuesday”—March 1, when 12 states and territories hold their primaries. After parsing everything from poll aggregations and betting markets to Google search data, a pattern is beginning to emerge. 

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