Economics

The Big 2015 Trade That Slept May Soon Reawaken When Rates Split

The Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve building in Washington, D.C. on Jan. 27, 2015.

Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg
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It looks like June is going to come and go without the U.S. Federal Reserve raising interest rates for the first time since 2006, as financial markets indicated was probable at the start of the year.

While the slippage after an unexpected first-quarter slump in the U.S. helped weaken the dollar from its March high, it’s no reason to give up on the year’s likeliest bet: that the Fed will pull away from the European Central Bank.