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After Poll Surge, Ted Cruz is Still Below His 2013 GOP Primary Numbers

The surge is real, but it's happened before.
Texas Senator Ted Cruz speaks at the Iowa Freedom Summit, 1/24/2015

Texas Senator Ted Cruz speaks at the Iowa Freedom Summit, 1/24/2015

Photographer: Daniel Acker/Bloomberg

The headlines confirm that Texas Senator Ted Cruz had a campaign launch to dream of. "Cruz Surges Following Candidacy Announcement." "Cruz Rockets to Third in New Poll." "Cruz in 'Top Tier' of White House Hopefuls." A Public Policy Polling survey has Cruz leaping from 5 percent to 16 percent support in the primary; a Fox News poll has Cruz moving up from 4 percent to 10 percent; the Washington Post/ABC News poll has him rising from 8 percent to 12 percent.

Cruz could honestly say that the pundits had bet against him. He's frequently quoted from a hypothesis-heavy New York Times analysis of his chances, which judged that his lack of support from party "elites" and single-digit poll numbers basically ruled him out of contention.