Unilever Sales Growth Misses Estimates on Asian SlowdownMatthew Boyle
Unilever, the maker of Dove soap and Lipton tea, reported second-quarter revenue growth that missed estimates as Asian emerging markets continued to slow and the struggling food business posted another sluggish result.
Underlying sales rose 3.8 percent in the period ended June 30, the London- and Rotterdam-based company said today in a statement. The median estimate of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was for a 4.3 percent increase.
The slowdown in developing markets such as Brazil, Argentina and China reflects weakening economic growth and price increases necessitated by sliding currencies. Almost two-thirds of food sales come from mature markets such as the U.S., which has prompted the sale of brands such as Slim-Fast and Ragu. The volume of food sold by Unilever in the quarter was little changed despite the benefit of Easter falling in the period.
“Unilever’s foods business is the real dog,” Rahul Sharma, managing director of London’s Neev Capital, said in an e-mail, citing a lack of innovation and frequent price increases, which have damped sales, particularly in the U.S.
Unilever shares were little changed at 32.29 euros as of 12:04 p.m. in Amsterdam.
Chief Financial Officer Jean-Marc Huet said the Easter benefit to underlying sales growth in the quarter was less than the 0.4 percent to 0.5 percent lift he predicted earlier in the year. He declined to be more specific. Unilever has introduced new food items such as spreads with butter, and Huet said sales of spreads were “stable” in the quarter after declining about 5 percent in the first three months of the year.
The volume of goods sold rose 1.9 percent in the quarter, lower than the 2.5 percent median estimate, as shipments of health and beauty, home-care, and refreshment products such as tea and ice cream all slowed from the first quarter.
“The absence of quarter-on-quarter acceleration is disappointing in our view given the impact of Easter phasing,” James Edwardes Jones, an analyst at RBC Europe, said in a note.
Underlying sales in emerging markets increased 6.6 percent, trailing the 10 percent expansion in the same period of last year, while revenue in developed markets rose 0.3 percent. Underlying sales exclude the effect of acquisitions, disposals and currency fluctuations.
Growth in Unilever’s markets has slowed to 2.5 percent on average from 4 percent a year ago, Chief Executive Officer Paul Polman said on a conference call with analysts. Still, the company is holding or gaining market share in 60 percent of its businesses, up from 55 percent last year, he said, helped by new products such as compressed deodorants and Clear anti-dandruff shampoo, which just entered Japan.
“For the time being, market growth rates are clearly subdued,” Polman said. “We have experienced a further slowdown in the emerging countries, while developed markets are not yet picking up. It may be a few more quarters before we see the first signs of meaningful recovery.”
Total revenue in the quarter fell 5.5 percent to 24.1 billion euros, hurt by the weakness of currencies such as the Argentine peso, Venezuelan bolivar and the Indonesian rupiah against the euro. Argentina accounts for about 2 percent of sales, while Venezuela is less than 0.5 percent, Huet said.
“The company remains in a slight growth trap which is attributable to its mature markets, where currencies are relatively firm, being static in contrast to the emerging markets, where currencies fell sharply in the past 12 months,” said Chris Wickham, an analyst at Oriel Securities.
The core operating margin, a measure of profitability, was unchanged at 14 percent in the first half, measured in current exchange rates. Net income in the first half rose 16 percent to 2.82 billion euros, also in current exchange rates.
“While Unilever came across as being relatively confident, it is clear that there is no expectation that the market environment will materially improve in the near future,” Jeff Stent, an analyst at Exane BNP Paribas, said in a note. “We suspect we are looking at a new norm.”