El Nino Alert Remains as Australia Sees Pattern by August

Lock
This article is for subscribers only.

Australia remains on El Nino watch on expectations the weather pattern that brings drought to the Asia-Pacific region and heavier-than-usual rains to South America will probably develop by August.

The alert indicates at least a 70 percent chance of an El Nino developing this year, the Bureau of Meteorology said on its website today. More than half of the climate models surveyed suggest thresholds will be exceeded by August, it said. That compares with six of seven models suggesting that thresholds for the event may be exceeded as early as July, which the bureau forecast on April 22.