Election Model Predicts Bush-Gore Style Ending for 2012
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An election model that has accurately predicted the winner of the popular vote in the last five presidential campaigns shows that the 2012 margin may be as close as 2000, when the U.S. Supreme Court was forced to weigh in on the outcome of the contest.
An analysis using the forecasting model developed by Alan Abramowitz, an Emory University political science professor, predicts that President Barack Obama will win with 50.8 percent of the popular vote.