How Weather Predictions Are Made – and Why AI Could Upend That

Illustration by Ibrahim Arafath

Explainer

How AI Could Change the Future of Weather Forecasts

Weather forecasting helps industries avert billions in losses from extreme events, and AI could make predictions faster, cheaper and more accurate.

Weather forecasting has gone through incremental but tremendous progress in past decades. By one metric, today's five-day forecast is now as accurate as a three-day forecast was in 2000.

Entire ecosystems rely on weather forecasting, and any improvements — particularly as climate change heightens weather volatility — can help not just individuals to better manage risks, but also entire industries to avert billions in economic losses. In the US alone, an estimated one-third of the economy, or about $3 trillion, is sensitive to the weather and climate.