The future of energy, transport, sustainability and more, as told by BNEF analysts. Each week, Dana Perkins sits down with BloombergNEF (BNEF) analysts to uncover the key findings and stories behind their latest research.
Biofuels Cash In on US Tax Credits: Analyst Reaction
Biofuels Cash In on US Tax Credits
Analyst Reaction
New guidance on the 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit has clarified the outlook for US biofuels. The Treasury Department has confirmed that manure-based fuels can earn negative emissions scores, unlocking potential credits of around $7 per gallon for some renewable natural gas projects. The decision gives manure-based RNG a clear advantage, likely displacing other sources in the already saturated road fuel market. But beyond transport, where stacked subsidies make RNG viable, new demand remains uncertain. So how far can 45Z reshape the broader US biofuels market before the credit expires in 2029? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by Jade Patterson, a BNEF specialist in renewable fuels, to discuss his analyst reaction “Dairy and Swine Win Big in New US Biofuel Guidance.”
Mar 06, 2026