Less than five years ago, Chinese healthcare was a closed-off, low-quality system where the richest left the country for medicines and treatments, and the poorest took a bad diagnosis as a death sentence. Now, the world’s second largest economy is striving to become a place where patients can get the best, newest drugs and services faster and cheaper than anywhere else.
Pressured by its growing middle class, the Chinese government has set itself an ambitious target: first-world health outcomes at a fraction of the cost that other countries, especially the U.S., pays.
To get there, China has doubled the amount it’s pouring into public hospitals in the last five years to $38 billion. It wants to see a healthcare industry valued at $2.3 trillion by 2030, more than twice its size now.
The cost control part will be much harder. Beijing wants the biggest pharmaceutical companies in the world to bend the knee, lowering their prices drastically in order to get access to its vast patient pool. In new drugs, pharmaceuticals from Pfizer to Roche have agreed to cuts of as much as 70%.
It’s an unprecedented balancing act, and the outcome will affect not just billions of Chinese patients, but the future of the global healthcare industry.
100
Projected
75
25
0
1950
2000
2050
2095
2013
2017
3
Target
2013
2030
2017
2
2.5
3
Doctors per 1,000 people
Projected
150
100
50
0
2095
1950
2000
2050
¥
270.5B
2018
¥
84.9B
2010
120
in
2014
1,600
planned
in
2020
$20.5T
Total GDP (current US$)
2018
$13.6T
Total GDP (current US$)
2018
$12K
6
0
2013
2013
2018
2018
ENTECAVIR
Used for treating hepatitis B
0.5mg* 28 tablets
¥17.36
¥83.16
¥672
Generic price in
China after cuts
Price
in U.S.
Original retail price in China
ATORVASTATIN
Used to treat high cholesterol
20mg* 7 tablets
¥6.6
¥180
¥58
128
150
New drugs
added
120
90
60
30
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
$17.6B
696
deals
$18B
2018
14
2017
12
8
2016
4
2015
0
0
200
400
600
800
Number of deals
AstraZeneca
Roche
Merck
20%
15
10
5
0
2012
2014
2016
2018
Target
100%
68%
55.5%
50
40.5%
0
2015
2030
Projected
80%
60
40
20
0
2010
2014
2018
2022
136,000
20,000
At stake is not just the well-being of millions of Chinese people, but the future of the global healthcare industry. China has set its sights on creating a holy grail healthcare system that satisfies patients’ needs and control costs while still encouraging cutting-edge research—and the world is watching.