Media Norms, Bogus Claims and Bubbles

Jonathan Bernstein's morning links.

1. Lynn Vavreck at the Upshot on the effects of presidential campaign ads in the 2016 cycle.

2. Dan Drezner gives his annual awards for the best writing in political economy

3. At the Monkey Cage, Miriam Elman has an optimistic analysis of why moving the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem might make peace more likely.

4. Seth Masket at Pacific Standard on media norms

5. Julia Kamin at Vox on Facebook and partisan bubbles

6. George Edwards at the Monkey Cage reminds everyone that the public's opinion of incoming presidents rarely changes

7. Andrew Gelman on the "bogus claim" that North Carolina isn't really a democracy anymore. Yes: What happened recently in that state was awful, but given that it was in the context of the out-party defeating the in-party and then taking office, there's obviously quite a bit of democracy there. I do think democracy is to some extent threatened right now in the United States, but it does no one any good to get ahead of ourselves. 

8. Jonathan Chait is certainly correct that Republicans are unlikely to ever come up with a real replacement for Obamacare

9. Greg Sargent on reporting identified untruths from the president-elect.

10. And my Bloomberg View colleague Megan McArdle wonders whether the U.S. is headed for divorce court. Not the worst analogy, but for what it's worth the real actors here are not, I think, rank-and-file voters; the problem is at the leadership level, where too many politicians tempted to be demagogues and talk-show hosts who know very well that their fear-mongering is way over the top have chosen to act irresponsibly. Where they go, regular citizens follow. 

Get Early Returns every morning in your inbox. Click here to subscribe.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.

    To contact the author of this story:
    Jonathan Bernstein at

    To contact the editor responsible for this story:
    Brooke Sample at

    Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal.