Early Returns

Trusting Exit Polls and Calling the Shots

Jonathan Bernstein's morning links.

1. Stephen A. Nuño and Bryan Wilcox-Archuleta have more evidence why we should not trust the exit polls on Latino voting.

2. Dan Drezner on who will call the foreign-policy shots in the Donald Trump administration.

3. At the Monkey Cage, James Pfiffner on why Trump will need a single, strong chief of staff. Hard to argue with some 60 years of evidence on this one.

4. Julian Sanchez on why we should call the "alt-right" by that name. Convincing! My hesitation isn't the one he talks about, however; it's whether it reflects unfairly on other conservatives. My rule of thumb: The more conservatives push back against the name, the less likely I'll be to use it. Although beyond that, I've never been a fan of using "left" and "right" to talk about U.S. politics anyway.

5. While Sarah Posner reports on how the group is celebrating Trump's win.

6. Philip Klein on House Budget Committee Chairman (and apparent nominee for secretary of Health and Human Services) Tom Price's approach to health-care reform

7. See too Sarah Kliff on Price and health care.

8. This is an unusual situation, but I still tend to agree with my Bloomberg View colleague Noah Feldman that unfaithful electors are bad for U.S. democracy.

9. And Nate Silver quantifies the obvious observation that the 2016 presidential election was no landslide.

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