Third Parties, Tuned-Out Voters and Prediction Models

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg View columnist. He taught political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio and DePauw University and wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.
Read More.
a | A

1. Useful item from Matthew Dickinson comparing polls-based predictions with "fundamentals" models of presidential elections. 

2. Dan Drezner explained (before the trip) why Donald Trump was going to Mexico

3. Matthew Dean Hindman and Bernard Tamas at the Monkey Cage on third parties

4. Also at the Monkey Cage, Karthick Ramakrishnan, Jennifer Merolla and Chris Haynes on Trump and U.S. attitudes toward deportation.

5. Kevin Drum on why people (other than white men) aren't inclined to even give Republicans a listen

6. And my View colleague Barry Ritholtz has good news for taxpayers about banking.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.

To contact the author of this story:
Jonathan Bernstein at jbernstein62@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Katy Roberts at kroberts29@bloomberg.net