The End of White Christian America

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg View columnist. He taught political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio and DePauw University and wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.
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1. Julia Azari at Politico places the current Republican difficulties in a broad historical context. Don’t miss it. I’m inclined to see the historical residue (and the constraints that accompany it) as advantages, not disadvantages. But some skepticism of the virtues of adaptive parties is very welcome.

2. John Sides interviews Robert P. Jones about the big demographic changes in religion and ethnicity that Jones considers the end of “white Christian America.”

3. Nate Silver looks at where the presidential race stands right now.

4. At the Upshot, Nate Cohn gives his overview of the contest.

5. Benjy Sarlin at NBC tries to make sense of Donald Trump’s foreign-policy speech.

6. And Dan Drezner is certainly correct that Trump is a bonanza for political science research. The only problem? He’s not running a field campaign. And he’s not (so far at least) running ads. And he’s a terrible candidate. And he’s divided the party. And probably a few more I’m not thinking of right now. In other words, Trump will give us a new estimate -- assuming things continue as they are now, with much of it already locked in -- of the maximum “campaign and candidate” effect. But that won’t necessarily make it easier to investigate and untangle what goes into that large effect.

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