Early Returns

Polls, Polarization and Celebrating C-SPAN

Jonathan Bernstein's morning links.

1. Charles Franklin at the Monkey Cage: The polls are not broken. They’re just about as reliable as they ever were. Which still means individual polls can be wrong, for a variety of reasons -- that’s why it’s always best to look at polling averages, not individual surveys -- but polling overall still works.

2. Also at the Monkey Cage: Katherine Levine Einstein, Kris-Stella Trump and Vanessa Williamson on partisan polarization and the stimulus.

3. Annie Lowrey on the European refugee crisis -- and the refugee opportunity.

4. At the New Yorker, Jeffrey Toobin on Donald Trump and judges.

5. Paul Kane on 30 years of C-SPAN televising the Senate. I’ve said it before: Brian Lamb is a hero of the republic.

6. Here at Bloomberg View, Timothy L. O'Brien looks at Trump’s massive conflicts of interest should he be elected ...

7. ... while Dan Drezner speculates that perhaps Trump is only running in order to financially exploit the White House. Plausible! But my guess is it’s more of an ego trip than any rational scheme.

Get Early Returns every morning in your inbox. Click here to subscribe.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.

    To contact the author of this story:
    Jonathan Bernstein at jbernstein62@bloomberg.net

    To contact the editor responsible for this story:
    Brooke Sample at bsample1@bloomberg.net

    Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal.