Sexism, Gerrymandering and Abuses of Power
1. Danny Hayes and Jennifer L. Lawless at the Monkey Cage on sexism on the campaign trail. They find surprisingly little evidence of it. Worth noting: Their data is from U.S. House elections. I’ve seen similar findings for statewide races, too. And we can’t know yet how that applies to a female major-party nominee for president, since we haven’t had one of those before. But see their conclusion -- just as ignoring real sexism can be damaging, so can belief in nonexistent discrimination.
2. Excellent Richard Skinner item on Donald Trump and the Republican Party. At Mischiefs of Faction.
3. Several political scientists at the Monkey Cage look at a Republican gerrymander in Wisconsin.
4. I haven’t written about House Republicans' move to impeach an IRS commissioner because, well, what can you say? It’s an abuse of their power, and yet they are going to do it. Anyway, Paul Waldman at the Week has a good explanation of what’s going on.
5. Stuart Rothenberg compares the Republicans in 1964 with the party in 2016. Solid. I’ll continue to say it: The media is underappreciating how big a deal it is that many Republican Party actors will not accept their nominee. Yes, most of them will go along, but some have not, and many who have are doing so reluctantly. That’s the story.
6. The Upshot’s Nate Cohn on what the polls right now are (and are not) telling us.
7. I think my Bloomberg View colleague Megan McArdle is largely correct: Trump may have fascist instincts, but the demise of U.S. democracy is an unlikely outcome even if he does get elected. Plenty of (ugly) consequences are more likely.
8. Jaime Fuller at MTV with a highly informative look at panic, 2016 style.
9. And yet another Election Day for me yesterday. This time it was the runoff election for positions in the March 2 primary in which no one received a majority of the vote. The statistics: This was my third Election Day of the year, the eighth of the two-year cycle (since November 2014), and the 15th Election Day for me since November 2012. There were 3 items on the ballot. I've now voted 39 times this year, 59 times over the two-year cycle, and cast 191 votes since the 2012 November elections. Yes, that’s a mockery of democracy, and no surprise that the polling place was empty the entire time I was there.
Get Early Returns every morning in your inbox. Click here to subscribe.
This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.
To contact the author of this story:
Jonathan Bernstein at email@example.com
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Brooke Sample at firstname.lastname@example.org