Demographics, Democracy and Trade Wars

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg View columnist. He taught political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio and DePauw University and wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.
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1. Norm Ornstein and Alan Abramowitz on general election polls. I half-agree with their advice. Yes, use polling averages. But don’t bother to “look under the hood at things like demographic and partisan distributions” if a particular survey returns odd results. Just toss it into the polling averages and move on.

2. At the Monkey Cage, good news about democracy in Tunisia, from Michael Robbins.

3. Byron York at the Washington Examiner on anti-democratic conservatives.

4. My Bloomberg View colleague Timothy L. O'Brien on Donald Trump’s financial disclosure.

5. Excellent update on how the Trump and Hillary Clinton campaigns are preparing for taking office, from the Washington Post’s Lisa Rein.

6. Jim Tankersley at Wonkblog on the consequences of Trump’s proposed trade war.

7. Back here at View, Francis Wilkinson on Bernie Sanders and democracy.

8. And Slate’s William Saletan has a useful summary of why Trump isn’t just an ordinary politician.

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