Early Returns

Party Precedent and the Physics of Politics

Jonathan Bernstein's morning links.

1. Hans Noel at Mischiefs of Faction wants Neil deGrasse Tyson to stick to physics. My version of it is here.

2. At the Monkey Cage, John Sides and Andrew Gelman on why we shouldn’t expect a totally different electoral map in 2016.

3. Molly Reynolds at Brookings on obstacles to passing appropriations bills this year.

4. Brendan Nyhan at the Upshot looks at the fundamentals for the 2016 presidential election and why they might not predict the outcome this time.

5. Back to the Monkey Cage, where Boris Heersink and Jeffery A. Jenkins look at the precedents and the importance of party disunity. What’s happening now in the Republican Party is extraordinary.

6. My Bloomberg View colleague Justin Fox on an economic view of #NeverTrump options.

7. And Sarah Posner on Donald Trump, Christian conservatives and the Republican Party.

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