Predicting Trump and Delegate Math

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg View columnist. He taught political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio and DePauw University and wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.
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1. Julia Azari at the Blue Review on what political scientists missed about Donald Trump, and what we should have seen. 

2. Matt Grossmann on how John Kasich could have real clout

3. Josh Huder at Rule 22 has a very useful update on Paul Ryan's speakership so far

4. Good Seth Masket item at Mischiefs of Faction about what the Republican Party did in Colorado. I disagree with his assertion that the Republican process there wasn't democratic but fully agree with his party analysis of what happened. Two questions for Masket and anyone else who knows the Colorado Republican Party well: How many of the actual delegates chosen were really Cruz people, and how many of them were mainstream conservatives or other Republicans who are mainly #NeverTrump? 

5. My Bloomberg View colleague Noah Smith on breaking up the banks.

6. Nate Cohn at the Upshot looks carefully at the New York Republican primary and how the delegate math will play out.

7. And also here at View: Eli Lake on Donald Trump's new campaign operative, a scandal waiting to happen. Party network scholarship predicts this sort of thing. Most partisan operatives -- and all experienced, first-rate campaign professionals are partisan operatives -- are unwilling to work for a candidate whom the party has rejected, so such candidates don't have good choices. 

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To contact the author of this story:
Jonathan Bernstein at jbernstein62@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Brooke Sample at bsample1@bloomberg.net