More Bad News for Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg View columnist. He taught political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio and DePauw University and wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.
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1. An outstanding team of political scientists has been collecting information about state lawmakers' presidential endorsements and is now publishing the numbers. There are far fewer endorsements than I've found from other places, and the results aren’t as good for Marco Rubio. This stuff is very difficult to nail down, so kudos to them for trying.

2. Lynn Vavreck at the Upshot on Donald Trump’s supporters and intolerance.

3. Dan Drezner’s intriguing theory of Trump: The political scientists did it! Vaguely plausible, but overall I don’t really think so.

4. Dave Hopkins is quite a bit more skeptical than I am.

5. At FiveThirtyEight, Dan Hopkins rains on Ted Cruz’s general election parade.

6. Fred Kaplan on closing Guantanamo.

7. And at the New Republic, Brian Beutler, who has been talking about this quite a bit, notes that Hillary Clinton is now favoring adding a public option to the Affordable Care Act, at least at the state level. This sort of but not exactly fulfills a prediction I made back in December 2009: “Public option is going to be a litmus test for liberals in ... the 2016 presidential nomination if necessary.” Not exactly, because I argued it would be a more visible issue in Democratic primaries up to this point (it hasn’t been) and I certainly didn’t foresee a single-payer advocate as the leading liberal challenger in 2016.

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Jonathan Bernstein at jbernstein62@bloomberg.net

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