Surprise! Voters Aren't So Angry This Year

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg View columnist. He taught political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio and DePauw University and wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.
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1. I love this item: Julia Azari at Mischiefs of Faction on what Republican Party actors may be up to. Mind you, I think she’s wrong. I still think Donald Trump is a long shot, and that Republicans will (eventually!) figure out who to support, and that candidate will win. But if Trump does win, I’ll be open to all sorts of reasonable explanations, and Azari’s will be worth following up on.

2. But Dave Hopkins thinks that many Republicans are just being prudent by sitting on their hands. Perhaps -- but what about Republican-aligned interest groups?

3. Sarah Posner at Rolling Stone interprets Jerry Falwell Jr.’s endorsement of Trump as an aggressive form of surrender -- one that other Christian conservatives might embrace, too. Fascinating.

4. My Bloomberg View colleague Al Hunt on why John Kasich is rooting for Hillary Clinton in Iowa. It’s all about the independents.

5. Greg Sargent at the Plum Line looks at the numbers behind the Bernie Sanders "revolution." As for me, I believe the same thing about Sanders that I believe about Ted Cruz: The evidence is strong that candidates who are perceived to be outside the ideological mainstream underperform at the polls.

6. Aaron Blake at the Fix highlights polling that shows voters aren’t particularly angry this year after all. I’m surprised. Not that they aren’t angry -- I’ve said before that my guess about Trump is that he’s doing well precisely because the nation is mostly doing well these days, so people can afford to treat politics as if it were entertainment. But I would have thought that, by now, many Trump (and Cruz and Sanders) supporters would have learned to report themselves as being angry. Not even that, though.

7. And Ta-Nehisi Coates on Hillary Clinton and Reconstruction.  

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To contact the author of this story:
Jonathan Bernstein at jbernstein62@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Brooke Sample at bsample1@bloomberg.net