Donald Trump's Chaos and One Very Bad Idea

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg View columnist. He taught political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio and DePauw University and wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.
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1. At the Monkey Cage, Sarah Binder on the long history of “audit the Fed.”

2. Julia Azari, writing at FiveThirtyEight, on the dangers to the Republican Party from Donald Trump. I think she somewhat undervalues the chance that high-profile Republicans would defect if Trump somehow was their nominee and bring many voters with them, but the important point here is her last one -- a Trump presidency is the real danger to the party.

3. Seth Masket at Pacific Standard on political campaign donors and what they get for their money.

4. Paul Waldman is correct that Republicans will likely find some way to back off on their promise to repeal Obamacare if they win the presidency and retain their congressional majorities. Most likely? They’ll find a way to repeal “Obamacare,” but leave the Affordable Care Act in place (yes, I know they’re the same thing, but Republicans aren’t really upset about most of the provisions of the law). Not that there won’t be changes: Expect smaller subsidies, even more flexibility for the states on Medicaid than they’ve already had, and probably the end of most of the taxes financing the law.

5. Washington Examiner’s Byron York on Trump Iowans and whether they’ll show up on Feb. 1.

6. Here at Bloomberg View, Matthew Winkler on the Obama economy.

7. Sean Trende projects the 2016 Senate elections.

8. At MSNBC, Steve Benen raps Marco Rubio for supporting a constitutional convention. Yup: the worst idea in U.S. politics right now.

9. Good Ed Kilgore discussion of the supposed rise of political independents.

10. Alexander Kafka at the Chronicle of Higher Education profiles John Sides and the Monkey Cage.  

11. And the great Kevin Drum on how he wants to die.

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