Evangelicals, Fearing Trump, Have Choice to Make

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg View columnist. He taught political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio and DePauw University and wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.
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1. Brendan Nyhan at the Upshot looks at the polling on Muslims and violence.

2. Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Iacus and Andrea Ruggeri at the Monkey Cage on Islamists and Twitter.

3. No surprise at this point, but still outrageous: Republicans in the Senate refuse to act on Barack Obama’s Fed nominees. Christopher Condon and Cheyenne Hopkins report for Bloomberg Business.

4. Here at View, Peter Orszag writes another defense of the Obamacare “Cadillac tax.”

5. Evangelical leaders seeking to block Trump are trying to figure out which candidate to support. Usually in a Republican nomination contest their biggest concern would be keeping their issues high on the party’s agenda, but Trump is a threat to them, since he wouldn’t be reliable on basic concerns -- such as Supreme Court nominations. Excellent reporting from Washington Post’s Sarah Pulliam Bailey.

6. Another important piece on House Republicans from New Yorker’s Ryan Lizza. Raises two questions: Did John Boehner really cause trouble for himself by overcentralizing control in the House? Or are Freedom Caucus radicals expecting the impossible -- and misunderstanding what speakers can do?

7. And David Roberts at Vox on what political science has learned about belief in conspiracy theories. Liberals and conservatives are more or less equally likely to generate these theories, and perhaps even equally likely to believe them. But for whatever reason, the Republican Party is institutionally much more open to them than the Democratic Party. As Roberts says, a lot of that has to do with the structure of conservative media, but I think it involves something at the politician level, too.

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This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.

To contact the author of this story:
Jonathan Bernstein at jbernstein62@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Katy Roberts at kroberts29@bloomberg.net