Strategy Session: Cruz, Rubio and Trump

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg View columnist. He taught political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio and DePauw University and wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.
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1. Josh Huder at Rule22 writes on “regular order” in the House.

2. At the Monkey Cage, Patti Tamara Lenard reviews how political theorists think about issues involving refugees.

3. Cook’s Amy Walter explains why Ted Cruz’s theory of the general election doesn’t hold water. The evidence on this one is strong: Candidates who are perceived as ideological extremists are at a disadvantage.

4. The gang at FiveThirtyEight debates the chances of a Trump nomination. I continue to believe that Nate Silver, who gives Trump a slim chance, is far too bullish on him.

5. I don’t agree with everything Jonathan Chait says in his hypothetical look at Trump as nominee, but his final point – that many in the party would reluctantly rally around him – is plausible. Anyway, it’s not going to happen.

6. Is Ted Cruz preparing for a mainstream campaign? My View colleague Francis Wilkinson picks up some signs of it.

7. National Review’s Tim Alberta reminds us that Marco Rubio is very conservative, and may receive support from strongly conservative portions of the Republican Party.

8. Amber Phillips at the Fix on the enduring dominance of the House Republican “vote no, hope yes” caucus.

9. And Plum Line’s Greg Sargent on Hillary Clinton and Republicans in Congress.

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To contact the author of this story:
Jonathan Bernstein at jbernstein62@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Katy Roberts at kroberts29@bloomberg.net