Early Returns

The Myth of the Morose American

Jonathan Bernstein's morning links.

1. Seth Masket at Pacific Standard on premature eulogies for political parties.

2. Dave Hopkins has an excellent analysis of the Bernie Sanders campaign -- but I mostly like this one for his fight against Howard Dean revisionism.

3. Harry Enten at 538 is correct: General-election presidential polling this early doesn’t predict results. And using polling comparisons to predict which candidate would do best in the general election probably doesn’t tell us anything, either. Granted, we can’t test that -- we don’t get to re-run one 2016 election with Hillary Clinton against Donald Trump, another with her against Marco Rubio, and on through the list. But from what we know, there’s good reason to ignore those trial heats. The eventual nominees will seem different to voters next November than they do now.

4. Jill Lawrence at U.S. News notices that Carly Fiorina doesn’t seem up to speed on the presidency -- or on the effects of government shutdowns.

5. I agree with Kevin Drum’s skepticism that Americans have become particularly morose or dyspeptic.

6. Here at View, Francis Wilkinson on why Ben Carson’s character is going to be the focus of press interest.

7. And Dan Drezner brings needed wisdom to the subject of college campus controversies.

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