Early Returns

Boehner's Departure and What Happens Next

Jonathan Bernstein's morning links.

1. Hans Noel is correct: If Donald Trump wins, that will mean parties do not control presidential nominations, and throw plenty of other political science findings in doubt as well. We might be thrown back to Nelson W. Polsby’s Consequences of Party Reform, which argued that reform in the 1970s had taken the parties out of the nomination process and replaced them with media influence, yielding unpredictable results (and presidents ill-equipped for the job). Or perhaps some other, completely new explanation. Parties and processes do change; Polsby was correct for the 1970s, but once parties adapted they were (we believe!) once again able to control nominations. Including, most likely, in 2016. We’ll see.

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