Maybe a bit of cereal with your sugar?

Photographer: Daniel Acker/Bloomberg

How Cereal Got a Sugar High

Justin Fox is a Bloomberg View columnist. He was the editorial director of Harvard Business Review and wrote for Time, Fortune and American Banker. He is the author of “The Myth of the Rational Market.”
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When I was a kid, there were two kinds of breakfast cereal: the kind we ate at home, and the kind we only got to eat when we went backpacking and brought along variety packs of miniature cereal boxes.  The former were the basics: Kellogg’s Corn Flakes, Cheerios, Rice Krispies, Chex. The latter were the “sugar cereals”: Frosted Flakes, Froot Loops, and of course the magically delicious Lucky Charms.

I think this was pretty common in the 1970s. My wife and her brother were allowed to go crazy on just one box of sugar cereal a year. Our son, who is now 16, inherited the same deal -- Cheerios and Corn Flakes in regular life, then one box of Lucky Charms a year, usually around Christmas.

This kind of arrangement is what strategy professors Kathleen Eisenhardt and Don Sull call a “simple rule” -- an easy, effective guide to managing breakfast nutrition that doesn’t involve reading food labels or counting calories.  And if you look at the sugar content of the different old-line cereals, there really is a clear divide. (The main outlier is Raisin Bran, which made it onto our kitchen shelves because a cereal with fruit in it was perceived as a good thing even if the fruit in question was a shriveled-up sugar bomb.)

Just to give a sense of how this compares to actual candy, M&Ms are 63 percent sugar and Snickers bars 51 percent. Sugar cereals used to be closer to those ratios; in recent years Kellogg’s and General Mills, under pressure from child-nutrition watchdogs, have been cutting the sugar content of their sweetest products. Kellogg’s Honey Smacks still weigh in at a mouth-tingling 56 percent sugar, but I left them off the chart because I’d never heard of them before Devin Leonard reported in Bloomberg Businessweek that Kellogg chief executive officer John Bryant likes to eat them as a night-time snack.

Since my childhood, though, the cereal market has been overrun with new entrants. Some have been brand extensions of old standbys, such as Honey Nut Cheerios and Vanilla Chex. But there are also a bunch of new brands that have found their way into American kitchen cabinets, many by way of new grocery chains such as Whole Foods and Trader Joe’s.

I’m writing this from the house where I grew up in California. My father and stepmother are big Trader Joe’s shoppers. Here’s the Lazy Susan where the cereal resides in their kitchen, once home only to Grape Nuts, Corn Flakes, All Bran and their ilk:

photographer: justin fox/bloomberg view

There had been a box of Barbara’s Puffins in there too, but somebody must have finished it.

What all these cereals have in common -- apart from the Trader Joe’s High Fiber Cereal, which is basically store-brand All Bran -- are (a) claims that they are good for you and (b) lots of sugar. Not as much sugar as a sugar cereal, but much, much more than the everyday cereals of yore. Same goes for most of the oeuvre of Kashi, Cascadian Farms and Envirokidz.

I suspect that this sugar encroachment started with granola. It had the reputation of being natural and, well, granola-ey, but what made it clump into such yummy clusters was lots and lots of sugar (or honey, or some other sweetener). Since then cereal makers, even those that started out with the best of intentions -- such as Kashi, which still makes the zero-sugar 7 Whole Grain Puffs but was acquired by Kellogg 15 years ago and now offers a panoply of sweetened cereals -- have found that the surest way to wrest market share for a new cereal is to sugar it up.

The funny thing is, these cereals generally aren’t marketed as sweet. Their makers emphasize their wholesomeness, their organicness, their healthiness. Sugary cereals have gone from magically delicious to magically nutritious.

The medical establishment, though, has been coming around to the idea that excess sugar consumption is a major public health problem. To be sure, breakfast cereal contributes a lot less to our national sugar overload than fruit juices and soft drinks. And if my 92-year-old dad and 89-year-old stepmom want to eat sugary cereal, more power to them. But it bothers me that a food category that once offered consumers a straightforward choice between wholesome and not now confuses them with health claims while loading them up with sugar. It’s a bad equilibrium.

It’s also no longer working for the cereal companies. Sales began dropping in the late 1990s as morning rituals changed and some people started avoiding carbohydrates. I’m not going to go so far as to claim that the cereal makers’ creeping sugar addiction is a major cause of this decline. But it clearly isn’t helping them much, either.

  1. Yes, lots of other people would call this a simple rule as well. But I wanted to get in a plug for Eisenhardt and Sull’s new book, which is pretty great.

  2. I guess I had heard of Sugar Smacks, which is what Honey Smacks were called before the 1980s, but I dont think I was ever allowed to try them.

  3. My son came up with that line.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.

To contact the author on this story:
Justin Fox at justinfox@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor on this story:
James Greiff at jgreiff@bloomberg.net