Read Stuff, You Should: Presidency Hype

Jonathan Bernstein's morning links.

Happy Birthday to Matt Duffy, 24. Nice ring, Matt.

Yes, there’s good stuff:

1. Very thoughtful item from Vox's Ezra Klein about Paul Ryan, the presidency and Congress. His main point -- that the press is overly focused on the White House -- can’t be repeated too often. A few nitpicks: He undersells the extent to which party constrains both presidents and Congress (though both also can potentially change the party, as he does point out). And, while I’m happy to see anyone err in this direction, I think he undersells the presidency a bit. It’s reasonable to argue that Congress is somewhat more important and influential than the president, and he’s certainly correct that the chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee is one of the most powerful of the 535 members of Congress. Still, Ways and Means' jurisdiction is limited, and there’s also the party structure and competing committees in the House, and there’s also the Senate. The president is the single most influential elected official in the U.S. government. Just not as strong as conventional reporting and politics-based entertainment would suggest.

2. Annie Lowrey at New York on dynasties and women in politics.

3. Greg Sargent of the Plum Line on what House Republicans are telling us about their immigration preferences.

4. The folks at FiveThirtyEight posted informal, off-the-cuff odds for the Republican nomination. Good fun. In the same spirit, I’d say they have Romney and Paul overrated. The only real possibility in their “field” is John Kasich … I’d like to have him separated out, leaving the field at around 1 percent chance of winning.

5. Washington Monthly’s Ed Kilgore is having more fun with Romney III.

6. While Dan Drezner at the Washington Post isn’t impressed with Mitt Romney’s foreign policy chops.

7. And here at View, Noah Smith talks inflation: why the U.S. needs a bit more, and how the Fed could get there.

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