Nate Silver Predicts Republican Senate Advantage. Is He Right?

There is no shortage of predictions about the 2014 race.
Mitch McConnell and Harry Reid, head-to-head. Will Republicans retake the Senate? Photographer: Larry Downing/Pool via Bloomberg

Everyone is all worked up this morning because Nate Silver, over at the new (and very nice) FiveThirtyEight.com, has put up his first Senate race forecastsince last summer, giving Republicans a better-than-even chance of retaking the Senate.

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