After Yarnell, Let’s Get Ready to Fight the Next Fireby
The families of the 19 elite firefighters killed June 30 in a forest fire outside Yarnell, Arizona, deserve more than just our gratitude and condolences. Their memory should prompt governments at all levels to remedy their failure to deal with the growing threat of these disasters.
Reducing the cost of future fires, in lives and property, requires understanding what got us here in the first place. Yes, climate change has led to drier conditions and more fires: More than 9 million acres burned in 2012, an area bigger than New Jersey, Connecticut and Delaware combined and almost twice the annual average since 1990.
But even if the world weren’t getting hotter, the dangers from cataclysmic fires in the American West would be rising. The number of homes built in what forestry experts call the “wildland-urban interface” -- the areas where development meets forests or other wild vegetation -- grew by 6.6 million from 2000 to 2010, an increase of 18 percent.
The combination of more fires and more houses near wildlands has put more property at risk. Last year, the federal government spent $1.9 billion fighting forest fires, more than four times the annual average during the 1990s. Then there are the costs that can’t be calculated: From 2002 to 2012, 192 firefighters died trying to suppress wildland blazes. Including Yarnell, 24 more died in the first six months of this year.
The costs of firefighting are inhibiting sensible prevention. Consider this: In 1991, fighting fires made up 13 percent of the U.S. Forest Service’s total budget. By 2012, it had increased to more than 40 percent, cannibalizing programs designed to mitigate fires in the first place.
For example, in 2010, federal agencies “treated” almost 2 million acres of forest at the edge of developed areas -- a combination of thinning, mulching or setting intentional fires to reduce the dense fuel that ignites blazes. For 2014, that target is just 685,000 acres, a drop of more than two-thirds.
Prevention strategies also fall short outside the forest at the local level. The measures required to protect homes from all but the worst fires aren’t complicated. They include using more flame-resistant materials and keeping flammable trees and bushes farther away from homes.
What’s complicated is the mix of policies -- zoning, building codes and planning -- required to get homeowners to adopt those often costly practices.
Such action isn’t always popular. As of 2009, the latest year for which figures are available, only 25 states required local governments to create land-use plans, and only 11 addressed natural hazards such as forest fires in their statewide plans. In 12 states, the government suggests -- but doesn’t specify -- what local standards should address. In three states, including Texas, officials don’t even do that much.
In theory, states that fail to enact sensible zoning laws or compel local governments to do so will pay a price for their inaction. When the Forest Service fights fires on its land, it also works to protect property in neighboring jurisdictions, then asks those jurisdictions to pay part of the bill.
One would think that this would push states and communities to impose tougher rules on developers and residents. The trouble is, states can simply resist paying their tabs. Fourteen states owe the Forest Service $205 million for firefighting costs, with Texas owing the bulk of it -- $185 million, most of it dating to 2011.
It isn’t hard to see why Washington would resist playing debt collector after states and towns are devastated by forest fires. But sheltering those states from the cost of their development decisions amounts to an implicit federal subsidy for communities that allow excessive development at the forest’s edge and disregard best practices in land planning.
Washington can only do so much. States and localities need stronger incentives to reduce the impact of these fires. That can mean rewarding states that pass intelligent zoning rules -- say, by tying those rules to federal forestry funds. It can also mean pushing harder to recover more of the money the federal government spends on firefighting.
We can’t blame climate change alone when we choose to risk the lives of firefighters to protect buildings. This means reconsidering the right to live on the edge of the wilderness, free from government intrusions into the way we manage our land, and expecting somebody else to pay the cost of those decisions if the worst happens.
To continue reading this article you must be a Bloomberg Professional Service Subscriber.
If you believe that you may have received this message in error please let us know.
- The Problem Is Facebook, Not Cambridge Analytica
- This Is No Way to Run the U.S. Stock Market
- Putin Won at the Ballot Box. He's Losing Elsewhere.
- Cambridge Analytica Behaved Appallingly. Don't Overreact.
- There's a Blamer-in-Chief in the Oval Office
- The Fed Is Signaling More Than 3 Rate Hikes This Year
- Ten Things Investors Should Know About Markets