Russian Tactics Aim to Destabilize Ukraine: Dhand

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April 14 (Bloomberg) -- Otilla Dhand, vice president at Teneo Intelligence, talks with Guy Johnson about escalating tensions in Eastern Ukraine and expectations for a diplomatic resolution to the crisis on Bloomberg Television’s “The Pulse.”

To becoming a carbon copy of what we saw in crimea.

Or is it?

The tactics would be similar.

The destabilzation of the region and establishing control of the ground.

On the part of russia, is a tactic of destabilization rather than invasion, crossing the borders with the troops.

The ultimate aim is positioning ahead of the talks on thursday.

Russia's going to demand federalization of ukraine.

Claiming that the key of -- kiev government be put into position by the western support.

Should we look at the scale that we are operating here between diplomacy and all-out war?

Where are we, to the right hand side of that scale?

We're getting to the right hand side of the scale.

It is obvious that the efforts in the region's, where the organ that -- the unrest have occurred, they're organized and coordinated.

The support of russia behind these efforts is not an disputable, but it is fairly likely.

We are closer to the forceful options rather than diplomacy at this point.

What was the strategy in the u.n.? is in this direction or is that saying we are playing by the rules?

What was that?

It is the effort to his edition themselves as the ones that are playing by the rules.

Russia has been sending out signals that this is essentially fast-forward.

That ukraine has been destabilized by the west support of the protesters against yanukovych, late last year.

Is that for international or domestic consumption?

It is mostly domestic.

It will make nice headlines in russian headlines and on tv.

How low should our expectations be, on the talks on thursday?

They do not have high expectations on either side.

It is quite unlikely they will bring a resolution of the crisis.

The kiev government remains opposed to the federalization of ukraine.

The federalization would be undesirable for ukraine, and this is one of the major aims of russia and the country.

Will we see the gas cutoff?

Not yet, but the threats have been put forward.

That would be another bullet in the gun if you wish to say it that way.

That would precipitate if we saw further western commitment to the keykiev government.

It strikes me that european business, the links economically with russia, are having a big effect on europe's desire to get mixed up in any form, it seems, when it comes to the situation.

If you were expecting wide, economic sanctions to be announced against russia today, you will probably be disappointed.

At most, we're are going to get an escalation of the list of targeted sanctions, which is sort of a level two of the sanction regime.

That would be because of the links of european countries with russia.

Also, before the talks, they're trying not to cancel the whole thing.

Financially, though, we know that we need to support ukraine financially.

To what extent, if we were to see europe, the west putting up significant quantities of money, would that have an effect to mitigate some of the destabilizing forces?

And the west by its way out of this one?

It will probably not resolve the situation on the ground.

It may provide the ukrainian government to help handle the situation, but kiev will have to resolve the problem on the ground by itself.

There was a substantial involvement of the eu and the u.s. diplomats in advising what was the opposition when they were coming to power.

One would hope they are continuing talks with them.

Essentially, it is the kiev government itself.

Does that go as far as boots on the ground?

The russians are being accused of putting provocateurs in at the moment.

There were some suggestion that the west was providing similar advisors.

What is the likelihood of that?

The talks of that have been on the ground.

There are military stations that have probably bits and pieces of advice that they are handing to the government.

As we see ukraine putting more muscle on the ground, is that coming from washington and berlin, london and paris, that they should be doing that, or is that something that is being generated domestically?

It is being generated domestically, mostly.

Ok, thank you.

Let's move on.

Up next, the $6 billion for a copper mine could be a game changer for minmetals group.


This text has been automatically generated. It may not be 100% accurate.


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