{"id":78122,"date":"2024-07-08T15:16:02","date_gmt":"2024-07-08T19:16:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/"},"modified":"2024-08-30T11:45:37","modified_gmt":"2024-08-30T15:45:37","slug":"midyear-outlook-commodities","status":"publish","type":[3762],"link":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/","title":{"rendered":"Midyear outlook: Commodities"},"content":{"rendered":"<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <style>section[data-anchor=row-6a09dd1dcbc1d]::before {\n\t\t\t\tbackground-color: #eeeeee;\n\t\t\t}<\/style>\n    <section class=\"bbg-row bg--custom-color  bg--eeeeee text--black bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09dd1dcbc1d'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8 bbg-column--valign-bottom\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <p>    <ul class=\"bbg-categories_list\">\n                    <li>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/category\/commodities\/\" rel=\"category tag\">\n                    Commodities\n                <\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                    <li>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/category\/markets\/\" rel=\"category tag\">\n                    Markets\n                <\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                    <li>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/category\/trading\/\" rel=\"category tag\">\n                    Trading\n                <\/a>\n            <\/li>\n            <\/ul>\n<div\n    class=\"bbg-spacer\"\n        style=\"height: 24px !important\"\n    >\n<\/div>    <h1 class=\"bbg-metadata bbg-metadata--title\">Midyear outlook: Commodities<\/h1>\n<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-compact row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09dd1dd19a0'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-spacer\"\n        style=\"height: 40px !important\"\n    >\n<\/div><div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p><strong>Bloomberg Intelligence<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n    <p class=\"bbg-metadata bbg-metadata--date\">July 8, 2024<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-none row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09dd1dd4087'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <p><div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This analysis is by Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Commodity Strategist Mike McGlone. It appeared first on the Bloomberg Terminal. <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p>The broad commodity market appears to have been pulled along by the record-setting US stock market in 1H, with reversion implications. Dependence on fiscal and monetary stimulus in China, OPEC supply cuts, and a resilient stock market, for buoyancy may portend a typical commodity cycle toward the low-price cure, on the back of the 2022 peaks. Crude oil&#8217;s narrowing range appears akin to 2014 before the collapse, with some big differences; the growing US and Canadian surplus of supply vs. demand and China in decline, as evidenced by its plunging government bond yields.<\/p>\n<p>Copper&#8217;s 1H new high was fueled by speculative futures, with base-metal reversion implications. The grains could be an average Corn Belt growing season away from revisiting pre2020 levels. Heating-up geopolitical tensions have underpinnings for gold.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bbg-interstitial\" aria-label=\"interstitial\" tabindex=\"0\">\n\t<style>\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\tbackground:rgba(0,0,0,0);\n\t\t\tpadding: 104px;\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t}\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content, .bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content p{\n\t\t\tcolor:inherit;\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 768px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 32px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 480px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 18px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t<\/style>\n\t<div class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-card  bbg-card-dark bbg-card_hasCta has_interstitial\" id=\"card_1\" data-card_type=\"no_image\">\n  \n  \n  <div class=\"bbg-card__innerwrapper\">\n    <div class=\"bbg-card__content\">\n      \n      \n                      <h3 class=\"bbg-card__title\">Commodities insights delivered monthly to your inbox<\/h3>\n      \n              <div class=\"bbg-card__wysiwyg bb-wysiwyg\"><p>Sign up for the newsletter<\/p>\n<\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n          \n<div\n  id=\"cta_2017610854069489217\"\n  class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-cta icon icon-arrow\">\n  <style>\n    \n    \n    \n  <\/style>\n  <div\n    class=\"bbg-cta-link link-holder\"\n    data-links-type=\"cta-links\">\n    <p class=\"bbg-cta-p right\">\n      <a\n        class=\"bbg-cta-link link interstitial_cta\"\n        href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/newsletter\/\"\n        target=\"_blank\"\n        rel=\"\"\n        data-section-name=\"\"\n                role=\"button\"\n        aria-label=\"Learn more\"\n        >\n                <\/a>\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n      <\/div>\n\n  <\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-none row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09dd1dd8a1d'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h2>Rising global tension and gold vs. crude, copper, commodities<\/h2>\n<p>The heating-up geopolitical impasse with the world&#8217;s largest commodity importer &#8212; China &#8212; at the center may not be good for prices, with the notable exception of gold. If the US stock market can stay on a tear in 2H, commodities could stabilize, but risk vs. reward appears tilted toward deflation that&#8217;s worthy of inflation when equities have some typical retracement.<\/p>\n<h2>Unfavorable stage of typical commodity cycle<\/h2>\n<p>Russia&#8217;s invasion of Ukraine showed the value of partial allocations to commodities, but the high-price hangover may be lasting if history is any indication. Absent unforeseen supply shocks, commodities are on track to do what&#8217;s typical &#8212; gravitate toward break-even costs. In the US &#8212; the largest crude-oil and corn producer &#8212; breakevens are about $55 a barrel and $4 a bushel. Growing supply overhangs are normal due to price incentives, as evidenced by the migration toward normal contango from extreme backwardation.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"417\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul1.jpg\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"Three keys for 2H\" title=\"comjul1\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul1.jpg 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul1.jpg 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul1.jpg 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul1.jpg 889w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>Through June 27, the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index is up about 6% in 2024, on the back of a gain of about 16% for the S&amp;P 500, which may show divergent weakness in most commodities to the AI-driven stock market, with gold an exception. Our bias is risk vs. reward is leaning toward commodity deflation in 2H.<\/p>\n<h2>China in decline and commodity autocorrelation<\/h2>\n<p>The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index (BCOM) could be on a reversion path similar to the aftermath of the 2011 peak, with a big difference &#8212; China in decline. About unchanged on June 27 from its 2011 high, the BCOM may be elevated compared with a drop of about 25% in the Hang Seng Index and about 160 bps in China government bond 10-year yields. That commodity underpinnings appear increasingly dependent on OPEC supply cuts, monetary and fiscal stimulus in China, a rising US stock market and a weaker dollar may suggest a tilt toward a typical low-price cure cycle.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"628\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul2.jpg\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"\" title=\"comjul2\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul2.jpg 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul2.jpg 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul2.jpg 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul2.jpg 870w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>The high-price affliction from the 2022 peak may remain a primary broad commodity headwind in 2H. Our graphic shows the BCOM at risk of falling 40% to revisit its uptrend line from 2009. It may take unforeseen forces for it to sustain above its 2011 high.<\/p>\n<h2>Risks of a bit of normalization and deflation<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin atop our annual performance scorecard at the end of 1H and the Bloomberg US Treasury 20+ total return index on the bottom may show some reversion in 2H. If commodities follow a normal path toward a low-price cure and elevated risk-assets back up a bit, the tilt may be toward deflation worthy of the inflation that drove 2022&#8217;s highs. Recessionary trajectories in rising US unemployment, waning demand for diesel, gasoline and containerboard, along with sinking China government-bond yields, may portend severe deflation, a US stock-market correction away.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"489\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul3.jpg\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"\" title=\"comjul3\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul3.jpg 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul3.jpg 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul3.jpg 100w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul3.jpg 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul3.jpg 894w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>The fed funds rate about 2% above the Consumer Price Index is restrictive vs. the 20-year average of minus 1%, but rising fiscal deficits appear unstoppable, which keeps our bias toward gold extending its rise in 2H vs. most commodities and perhaps vs. equities.<\/p>\n<h2>What stops gold from beating most assets in 2H?<\/h2>\n<p>Up about 20% on a one year basis, gold is a close contender to the AI-driven S&amp;P 500 and if the stock market has a bit of back-and-fill typical of bull markets, the metal may take the medal in 2H. Our graphic showing the least supply-elastic precious metals on the top of the annual performance scorecard and the most elastic grains on the bottom makes sense about two years after the leaders of China and Russia declared their &#8220;unlimited friendship,&#8221; and the invasion of Ukraine. It&#8217;s a question of duration and unless there&#8217;s a Corn Belt drought, we see grain prices heading lower due to an overhang of supply, on the back of the price spikes to the 2022 highs.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"335\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul4.jpg\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"Gold may take the medal in 2H\" title=\"comjul4\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul4.jpg 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul4.jpg 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul4.jpg 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/comjul4.jpg 871w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>Conditions are similar in crude oil and natural gas. Base metals appear at risk of following plunging China government bond yields, which may leave gold to shine in 2H.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <style>section[data-anchor=row-6a09dd1de5bab]::before {\n\t\t\t\tbackground-color: #eeeeee;\n\t\t\t}<\/style>\n    <section class=\"bbg-row bg--custom-color  bg--eeeeee text--black bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09dd1de5bab'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <div\n    class=\"bbg-column\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h2>Recommended for you<\/h2>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n    class=\"bbg-spacer\"\n        style=\"height: 24px !important\"\n    >\n<\/div><script>\n    window.feed = window.feed || {};\n    window.feed['6a09dd1de8431'] = {\"config\":{\"uuid\":\"\",\"title\":\"\",\"filter_label\":\"\",\"post_type\":\"post\",\"order_by\":\"date\",\"direction\":\"desc\",\"show_date\":\"no\",\"show_excerpt\":\"no\",\"display\":\"limit\",\"filter\":\"OR\",\"max_items\":\"3\",\"skip_cache\":\"no\",\"feed_style\":\"grid\",\"published_date\":\"\",\"show_cta\":\"\",\"featured_image\":\"yes\",\"el_class\":\"\",\"terms_post\":\"\",\"terms_page\":\"\",\"terms_attachment\":\"\",\"terms_webinar\":\"\",\"terms_bbmegamenu\":\"\",\"terms_directory\":\"\",\"terms_datalayer\":\"\",\"terms_templatera\":\"\",\"terms_bbg-fourofour\":\"\",\"terms_reusable\":\"\",\"terms_cookie_items\":\"\",\"terms_bbl_email_subscriber\":\"\",\"terms_dynamic_table_ticker\":\"\",\"terms_bfix\":\"\",\"terms_quicklinks\":\"\",\"terms_interstitial\":\"\",\"terms_slide\":\"\",\"terms_gated_content_form\":\"\",\"terms_site_alert\":\"\",\"terms_country\":\"\",\"terms_region\":\"\",\"terms\":\"\"},\"cpt\":{\"name\":\"post\",\"label\":\"Posts\",\"labels\":{\"name\":\"Posts\",\"singular_name\":\"Post\",\"add_new\":\"Add New\",\"add_new_item\":\"Add New Post\",\"edit_item\":\"Edit Post\",\"new_item\":\"New Post\",\"view_item\":\"View Post\",\"view_items\":\"View Posts\",\"search_items\":\"Search Posts\",\"not_found\":\"No posts found.\",\"not_found_in_trash\":\"No posts found in Trash.\",\"parent_item_colon\":null,\"all_items\":\"All Posts\",\"archives\":\"Post Archives\",\"attributes\":\"Post Attributes\",\"insert_into_item\":\"Insert into post\",\"uploaded_to_this_item\":\"Uploaded to this post\",\"featured_image\":\"Featured image\",\"set_featured_image\":\"Set featured image\",\"remove_featured_image\":\"Remove featured image\",\"use_featured_image\":\"Use as featured image\",\"filter_items_list\":\"Filter posts list\",\"filter_by_date\":\"Filter by date\",\"items_list_navigation\":\"Posts list navigation\",\"items_list\":\"Posts list\",\"item_published\":\"Post published.\",\"item_published_privately\":\"Post published privately.\",\"item_reverted_to_draft\":\"Post reverted to draft.\",\"item_trashed\":\"Post trashed.\",\"item_scheduled\":\"Post scheduled.\",\"item_updated\":\"Post updated.\",\"item_link\":\"Post Link\",\"item_link_description\":\"A link to a post.\",\"menu_name\":\"Posts\",\"name_admin_bar\":\"Post\"},\"description\":\"\",\"public\":true,\"hierarchical\":false,\"exclude_from_search\":false,\"publicly_queryable\":true,\"show_ui\":true,\"show_in_menu\":true,\"show_in_nav_menus\":true,\"show_in_admin_bar\":true,\"menu_position\":5,\"menu_icon\":\"dashicons-admin-post\",\"capability_type\":\"post\",\"map_meta_cap\":true,\"register_meta_box_cb\":null,\"taxonomies\":[],\"has_archive\":false,\"query_var\":false,\"can_export\":true,\"delete_with_user\":true,\"template\":[],\"template_lock\":false,\"_builtin\":true,\"_edit_link\":\"post.php?post=%d\",\"cap\":{\"edit_post\":\"edit_post\",\"read_post\":\"read_post\",\"delete_post\":\"delete_post\",\"edit_posts\":\"edit_posts\",\"edit_others_posts\":\"edit_others_posts\",\"delete_posts\":\"delete_posts\",\"publish_posts\":\"publish_posts\",\"read_private_posts\":\"read_private_posts\",\"read\":\"read\",\"delete_private_posts\":\"delete_private_posts\",\"delete_published_posts\":\"delete_published_posts\",\"delete_others_posts\":\"delete_others_posts\",\"edit_private_posts\":\"edit_private_posts\",\"edit_published_posts\":\"edit_published_posts\",\"create_posts\":\"edit_posts\"},\"rewrite\":false,\"show_in_rest\":true,\"rest_base\":\"posts\",\"rest_namespace\":\"wp\\\/v2\",\"rest_controller_class\":\"WP_REST_Posts_Controller\",\"rest_controller\":{},\"revisions_rest_controller_class\":false,\"revisions_rest_controller\":{},\"autosave_rest_controller_class\":false,\"autosave_rest_controller\":{},\"late_route_registration\":false},\"taxonomies\":[{\"taxonomy\":\"post_format\",\"terms\":[{\"term_id\":33,\"name\":\"Link\",\"slug\":\"post-format-link\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":33,\"taxonomy\":\"post_format\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":12,\"filter\":\"raw\"},{\"term_id\":666,\"name\":\"Link\",\"slug\":\"post-format-link\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":666,\"taxonomy\":\"post_format\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":2,\"filter\":\"raw\"}]},{\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"terms\":{\"0\":{\"term_id\":3751,\"name\":\"Asia Centric\",\"slug\":\"asia-centric\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3751,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":51,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"1\":{\"term_id\":3741,\"name\":\"Bloomberg Expert Access\",\"slug\":\"bloomberg-expert-access\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3741,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":10,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"2\":{\"term_id\":3739,\"name\":\"Bloomberg Pro Tips\",\"slug\":\"bloomberg-pro-tips\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3739,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":59,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"4\":{\"term_id\":3743,\"name\":\"Functions for the Market\",\"slug\":\"ffm\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3743,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":7,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"5\":{\"term_id\":3770,\"name\":\"Market Dialogues\",\"slug\":\"market-dialogues\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3770,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":11,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"6\":{\"term_id\":3742,\"name\":\"Need to Know\",\"slug\":\"need-to-know\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3742,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":15,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"7\":{\"term_id\":3798,\"name\":\"Pricing Insights\",\"slug\":\"pricing-insights\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3798,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":6,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"8\":{\"term_id\":3740,\"name\":\"Terminal Essentials\",\"slug\":\"terminal-essentials\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3740,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":6,\"filter\":\"raw\"}}},{\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"terms\":{\"0\":{\"term_id\":3762,\"name\":\"Article\",\"slug\":\"article\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3762,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":1646,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"1\":{\"term_id\":3763,\"name\":\"Case Study\",\"slug\":\"case-study\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3763,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":41,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"3\":{\"term_id\":3765,\"name\":\"Podcast\",\"slug\":\"podcast\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3765,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":504,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"4\":{\"term_id\":3815,\"name\":\"Press Release\",\"slug\":\"press-release\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3815,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":81,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"5\":{\"term_id\":3766,\"name\":\"Q&amp;A\",\"slug\":\"qa\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3766,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":101,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"6\":{\"term_id\":3767,\"name\":\"Report\",\"slug\":\"report\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3767,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":78,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"8\":{\"term_id\":3768,\"name\":\"Video\",\"slug\":\"video\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3768,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":135,\"filter\":\"raw\"}}}],\"excluded_taxonomies\":{\"\":[]},\"post_id\":78122};\n<\/script>\n<div class=\"feed\" data-id=\"6a09dd1de8431\"><\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--white bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09dd1de9337'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <div\n    class=\"bbg-column\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div class=\"bbg-interstitial\" aria-label=\"interstitial\" tabindex=\"0\">\n\t<style>\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\tbackground: url(https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Interstitial_bg.png);\n\t\t\t\tbackground-repeat: no-repeat;\n\t\t\t\tbackground-position: center center;\n\t\t\t\tbackground-size: cover;\n\t\t\tpadding: 104px;\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t}\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content, .bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content p{\n\t\t\tcolor:white;\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 768px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 32px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 480px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 18px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t<\/style>\n\t<div class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-card  bbg-card-dark bbg-card_hasCta has_interstitial\" id=\"card_2\" data-card_type=\"no_image\">\n  \n  \n  <div class=\"bbg-card__innerwrapper\">\n    <div class=\"bbg-card__content\">\n      \n      \n                      <h3 class=\"bbg-card__title\">Request a Demo<\/h3>\n      \n              <div class=\"bbg-card__wysiwyg bb-wysiwyg\"><p>Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the world. Now, let us do that for you.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n          \n<div\n  id=\"cta_8033461614511311831\"\n  class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-cta icon icon-arrow\">\n  <style>\n    \n    \n    \n  <\/style>\n  <div\n    class=\"bbg-cta-link link-holder\"\n    data-links-type=\"cta-links\">\n    <p class=\"bbg-cta-p right\">\n      <a\n        class=\"bbg-cta-link link interstitial_cta\"\n        href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/request-demo\/\"\n        target=\"\"\n        rel=\"\"\n        data-section-name=\"\"\n                role=\"button\"\n        aria-label=\"Learn more\"\n        >\n                <\/a>\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n      <\/div>\n\n  <\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The broad commodity market appears to have been pulled along by the record-setting US stock market in 1H, with reversion implications.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1679,"featured_media":78128,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"template-article.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":"540","footnotes":""},"categories":[540,453,444],"tags":[565],"series":[],"class_list":["post-78122","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commodities","category-markets","category-trading","tag-bloomberg-intelligence","type-article"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.11 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Midyear outlook: Commodities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The broad commodity market appears to have been pulled along by the record-setting US stock market in 1H, with reversion implications.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Midyear outlook: Commodities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The broad commodity market appears to have been pulled along by the record-setting US stock market in 1H, with reversion implications.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Bloomberg Professional Services\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-07-08T19:16:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-08-30T15:45:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2F391245839.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1344\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"fgiacco\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&type=webp&url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/391245839-800x538.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@theterminal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@theterminal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"fgiacco\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"fgiacco\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/13fc771c8972a4c622b87e4830da005a\"},\"headline\":\"Midyear outlook: Commodities\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-07-08T19:16:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-08-30T15:45:37+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/\"},\"wordCount\":\"1065\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Bloomberg Intelligence\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Commodities\",\"Markets\",\"Trading\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/\",\"name\":\"Midyear outlook: Commodities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-07-08T19:16:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-08-30T15:45:37+00:00\",\"description\":\"The broad commodity market appears to have been pulled along by the record-setting US stock market in 1H, with reversion implications.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/\",\"name\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png\",\"width\":\"512\",\"height\":\"103\",\"caption\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/bloomberg\/\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/showcase\/bloomberg-professional-service\/\",\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/theterminal\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/13fc771c8972a4c622b87e4830da005a\",\"name\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Midyear outlook: Commodities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services","description":"The broad commodity market appears to have been pulled along by the record-setting US stock market in 1H, with reversion implications.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Midyear outlook: Commodities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services","og_description":"The broad commodity market appears to have been pulled along by the record-setting US stock market in 1H, with reversion implications.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/","og_site_name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp","article_published_time":"2024-07-08T19:16:02+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-08-30T15:45:37+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2000,"height":1344,"url":"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2F391245839.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"fgiacco","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_image":"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&type=webp&url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/391245839-800x538.jpg","twitter_creator":"@theterminal","twitter_site":"@theterminal","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"fgiacco","Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/"},"author":{"name":"fgiacco","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/13fc771c8972a4c622b87e4830da005a"},"headline":"Midyear outlook: Commodities","datePublished":"2024-07-08T19:16:02+00:00","dateModified":"2024-08-30T15:45:37+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/"},"wordCount":"1065","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization"},"keywords":["Bloomberg Intelligence"],"articleSection":["Commodities","Markets","Trading"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/","name":"Midyear outlook: Commodities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-07-08T19:16:02+00:00","dateModified":"2024-08-30T15:45:37+00:00","description":"The broad commodity market appears to have been pulled along by the record-setting US stock market in 1H, with reversion implications.","inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/commodities\/midyear-outlook-commodities\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/","name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization","name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png","width":"512","height":"103","caption":"Bloomberg Professional Services"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/bloomberg\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/showcase\/bloomberg-professional-service\/","https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp","https:\/\/twitter.com\/theterminal"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/13fc771c8972a4c622b87e4830da005a","name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78122","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1679"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78122"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78122\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":87158,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78122\/revisions\/87158"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/78128"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78122"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78122"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78122"},{"taxonomy":"post_series","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/series?post=78122"},{"taxonomy":"type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/type?post=78122"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}