{"id":120792,"date":"2025-07-02T10:21:25","date_gmt":"2025-07-02T14:21:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/"},"modified":"2025-07-02T16:36:40","modified_gmt":"2025-07-02T20:36:40","slug":"midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities","status":"publish","type":[3762],"link":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/","title":{"rendered":"Mid-year outlook: North American small-cap equities"},"content":{"rendered":"<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-compact row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09a7be9bc29'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-7\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-spacer bbg-spacer--lg\"\n    >\n<\/div><div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p class=\"small\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #0062dd;\">ARTICLE<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n    class=\"bbg-spacer bbg-spacer--sm\"\n    >\n<\/div>    <h1 class=\"bbg-metadata bbg-metadata--title\">Mid-year outlook: North American small-cap equities<\/h1>\n<div\n    class=\"bbg-spacer\"\n        style=\"height: 50px !important\"\n    >\n<\/div>    <ul class=\"bbg-categories_list\">\n                    <li>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/category\/markets\/\" rel=\"category tag\">\n                    Markets\n                <\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                    <li>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/category\/trading\/\" rel=\"category tag\">\n                    Trading\n                <\/a>\n            <\/li>\n            <\/ul>\n<\/p>\n\n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-5\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-left\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:100%\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"4000\" height=\"2667\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/367747020-2-1.jpg\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-full\" alt=\"A sign for Wall Street and American flags in New York, U.S\" title=\"367747020-2-1\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/367747020-2-1.jpg 4000w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/367747020-2-1.jpg 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/367747020-2-1.jpg 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/367747020-2-1.jpg 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/367747020-2-1.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/367747020-2-1.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/367747020-2-1.jpg 162w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 4000px) 100vw, 4000px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-none row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09a7bea67dd'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-6 bbg-column--m-width-6\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <p>    <p class=\"bbg-metadata bbg-metadata--date\">July 2, 2025<\/p>\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p><strong>Bloomberg Professional Services<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2 bbg-column--valign-middle bbg-column--m-width-2 bbg-column--s-padding-right-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div class=\"bb-tts\"\n\tdata-selector=\"main\"\n\tdata-label=\"Speak this page\"\n\tdata-custom-play=\"Play\"\n\tdata-custom-pause=\"Pause\"\n\tdata-custom-stop=\"Stop\"\n\tdata-overlay=\"false\"\n\tdata-invert=\"false\"\n\tdata-no-time=\"false\"\n\tdata-no-button-text=\"false\"\n\tdata-one-button=\"true\"\n\tdata-one-style=\"true\"\n\tdata-hide-stop=\"true\"\n\tdata-voice=\"Gordon\"\n\tdata-pitch=\"1\"\n\tdata-speed=\"1\"\n\tdata-align=\"flex-start\"\n>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-compact row-padding--bottom-compact bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09a7bea9202'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p><i>This article was written by Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist Gina Martin Adams and Senior Equity Strategist Michael Casper. It appeared first on the Bloomberg Terminal.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>The Russell 2000 is still sharply discounted, yet catalysts remain scarce for the gauge to rerate higher &#8212; though easing trade tensions and lower rates are the most obvious possible sparks that could ignite some rally. Our Fair Value Model hints that the index&#8217;s multiple still has some room to rise based on rate consensus, but anemic macro forecasts are still driving a disconnect between the regression&#8217;s implied growth and bottom-up consensus &#8212; the former remains concerned about the weight of trade tensions on the US economy, while the latter appears to expect a swift resolution to tensions. Credit markets continue to sound an all clear, though rising distress in energy is worth watching.<\/p>\n<p>Our latest sector rotation model favors utilities, financials, tech and industrials.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-none row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--margin-top-compact bbg-row--margin-bottom-compact bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09a7beab021'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <div\n    class=\"bbg-column\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div class=\"bbg-interstitial\" aria-label=\"interstitial\" tabindex=\"0\">\n\t<style>\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\tbackground: url(https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Interstitial_bg.png);\n\t\t\t\tbackground-repeat: no-repeat;\n\t\t\t\tbackground-position: center center;\n\t\t\t\tbackground-size: cover;\n\t\t\tpadding: 104px;\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t}\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content, .bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content p{\n\t\t\tcolor:white;\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 768px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 32px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 480px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 18px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t<\/style>\n\t<div class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-card  bbg-card-dark bbg-card_hasCta has_interstitial\" id=\"card_1\" data-card_type=\"no_image\">\n  \n  \n  <div class=\"bbg-card__innerwrapper\">\n    <div class=\"bbg-card__content\">\n      \n      \n                      <h3 class=\"bbg-card__title\">Discover more with Bloomberg newsletters<\/h3>\n      \n              <div class=\"bbg-card__wysiwyg bb-wysiwyg\"><p>Subscribe now<\/p>\n<\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n          \n<div\n  id=\"cta_4465534642555676969\"\n  class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-cta icon icon-arrow\">\n  <style>\n    \n    \n    \n  <\/style>\n  <div\n    class=\"bbg-cta-link link-holder\"\n    data-links-type=\"cta-links\">\n    <p class=\"bbg-cta-p right\">\n      <a\n        class=\"bbg-cta-link link interstitial_cta\"\n        href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/newsletter\/\"\n        target=\"\"\n        rel=\"\"\n        data-section-name=\"\"\n                role=\"button\"\n        aria-label=\"Learn more\"\n        >\n                <\/a>\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n      <\/div>\n\n  <\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-compact row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09a7beaff2f'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h2>Three keys for 2025: US small-cap equities<\/h2>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"510\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-113.png\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"Three keys for 2025: US small-cap equities\" title=\"Image-113\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-113.png 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-113.png 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-113.png 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-113.png 169w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-113.png 1439w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h2>Small-cap upside is in view, but all-time highs are a stretch<\/h2>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>Based on rates consensus, small-cap stocks are a tad undervalued, allowing upside above 2,300 even if anemic macro consensus is right and just 1.3% sales growth emerges over the year ahead. Though bottom-up consensus is for a 5% top-line gain, significant economic acceleration would be necessary to achieve that run-rate &#8212; most likely as a result of significantly easier monetary policy. If recession emerges, downside to 1,587 is possible, based on the average economic contraction.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h2>One step forward, two steps back for small-cap macro indicators<\/h2>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>Economic cues for small-cap stocks were brightening into 2025 &#8212; the Federal Reserve was paring back rates, the yield curve was uninverting and ISM manufacturing touched expansion for the first time in over two years. But the trade war put an end to the improving trends, and now the signals that matter most for the size are mixed at best. Narrow high-yield spreads remain the strongest show of confidence, yet their retreat from peaks back to 2010-19 cycle lows hints that the onus is now on fundamentals, not sentiment, to drive further small-cap recovery.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h2>The Fed isn&#8217;t riding to rescue small caps&#8217; rangebound multiple<\/h2>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>Small caps rapidly priced in a Fed easing cycle in late 2024, but the trade war and the specter of resurgent inflation have made the Fed&#8217;s path uncertain. At 1.27x &#8212; from a high of 1.52x earlier in November &#8212; multiples have some room to claw back to 2018&#8217;s high (1.45x), but that was when the federal funds rate was climbing to 2.4%. The current dot plot long-term forecast for rates is at 3%. With that 2018 multiple peak marking the high-water mark outside of the pandemic&#8217;s 0% rate environment, it might be a stretch for valuations to climb meaningfully higher without an assist from fundamentals.<\/p>\n<p>However, additional slowing in the Fed&#8217;s balance sheet runoff since April could at least support multiples, but the small-cap gauge&#8217;s largest reratings generally occurred as the balance sheet was expanding.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"517\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-210.png\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"Fed Funds vs. Small-Cap Valuations\" title=\"Image-210\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-210.png 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-210.png 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-210.png 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-210.png 167w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-210.png 1476w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h2>Manufacturing just can&#8217;t gain footing to support small caps<\/h2>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>US manufacturing has been mostly stuck in contraction territory since 2022 &#8212; the longest stretch without a sustained recovery since the Global Financial Crisis &#8212; causing the Russell 2000 to struggle to keep up with the less economically sensitive S&amp;P 500. Since 1979, there have been 12 distinct periods where ISM manufacturing fell to at least a 47 handle. The Russell 2000 led the S&amp;P 500 in the year after 10 of those lows, with one period of underperformance following 1996&#8217;s bottom, just as tech&#8217;s dot-com bubble began heating up. The other was after the June 2023 low. ISM fell back to 48.5 with May&#8217;s reading, down from 50.9 in January.<\/p>\n<p>The Russell 2000 has gained a median 16% in the year following an ISM return to expansion vs.14.3% for the S&amp;P 500 back to 1980.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"506\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-37.png\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"ISM vs. Small-Cap Relative Performance\" title=\"Image-37\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-37.png 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-37.png 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-37.png 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-37.png 171w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-37.png 1477w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h2>Narrow high-yield spreads hint sentiment recovery is over<\/h2>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>High-yield option-adjusted spreads are tight vs. history, suggesting scant signs of financial-market stress and hinting the early sentiment recovery off April&#8217;s lows may be past. Now, it will be on fundamentals to drive gains. High-yield OAS spreads reached a 583-bp peak by July 2022 &#8212; surpassing the apex associated with the correction in late 2018 (537 bps). Yet, despite bumps from the March 2023 bank crisis and the 2025 correction, it&#8217;s at 3% &#8212; below any point in the 2010-19 cycle.<\/p>\n<p>Excluding the 2008 financial crisis OAS top, the Russell 2000 gained an average 32.2% in the year following each major crest in high-yield spreads last cycle (2010, 2011, 2016, 2019), and led large caps in three of four instances. This dynamic hasn&#8217;t played out post-pandemic, with small caps trailing by 3,353 bps since the July 2022 high.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"518\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-46.png\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"Size Premium and High-Yield Spreads\" title=\"Image-46\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-46.png 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-46.png 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-46.png 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-46.png 167w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-46.png 1459w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h2>Flat yield curve fails to signal all-clear for small-cap value<\/h2>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>The yield curve isn&#8217;t giving small cap value much of a tailwind, and consensus expects very little steepening over the next year. The three-month to 10-year curve has been 0.71 correlated to the relative performance of value over growth, lending credence to the theory that value outperforms in the initial phases of recovery when the curve steepens the most. The curve has reinverted, but consensus expects it to turn positive by next quarter.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, this curve led the start of all NBER recessions by an average of 340 days &#8212; with two false positives in 1966 and 1998 &#8212; and began steepening before every contraction except 1980. Stronger GDP growth and higher inflation forecasts are usually reflected in a wider yield-curve spread, providing a fundamental link to the more economically sensitive value share performance.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"515\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-52.png\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"Small-Cap Value\/Growth and Yield Curve\" title=\"Image-52\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-52.png 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-52.png 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-52.png 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-52.png 168w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/Image-52.png 1474w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09a7bec0227'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div class=\"bbg-accordion transparent\">\n\t<input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"bbg-accordion-toggle-6a09a7bec15dd\">\n\t<div class=\"bbg-accordion-parent\" data-accordion-toggle aria-expanded=\"false\">\n\t\t<label class=\"bbg-accordion-label\" for=\"bbg-accordion-toggle-6a09a7bec15dd\">\n\t\t\t\t<h5 class=\"bbg-accordion-title\" data-label=\"Disclaimer\">\n\t\tDisclaimer\n\t<\/h5>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/label>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<div class=\"bbg-accordion-content\">\n\t\t<div class=\"bb-wysiwyg\">\n\t<p>The data included in these materials are for illustrative purposes only. The BLOOMBERG TERMINAL service and Bloomberg data products (the \u201cServices\u201d) are owned and distributed by Bloomberg Finance L.P. (\u201cBFLP\u201d) except (i) in Argentina, Australia and certain jurisdictions in the Pacific Islands, Bermuda, China, India, Japan, Korea and New Zealand, where Bloomberg L.P. and its subsidiaries (\u201cBLP\u201d) distribute these products, and (ii) in Singapore and the jurisdictions serviced by Bloomberg\u2019s Singapore office, where a subsidiary of BFLP distributes these products. BLP provides BFLP and its subsidiaries with global marketing and operational support and service. Certain features, functions, products and services are available only to sophisticated investors and only where permitted. BFLP, BLP and their affiliates do not guarantee the accuracy of prices or other information in the Services. Nothing in the Services shall constitute or be construed as an offering of financial instruments by BFLP, BLP or their affiliates, or as investment advice or recommendations by BFLP, BLP or their affiliates of an investment strategy or whether or not to \u201cbuy\u201d, \u201csell\u201d or \u201chold\u201d an investment. Information available via the Services should not be considered as information sufficient upon which to base an investment decision. The following are trademarks and service marks of BFLP, a Delaware limited partnership, or its subsidiaries: BLOOMBERG, BLOOMBERG ANYWHERE, BLOOMBERG MARKETS, BLOOMBERG NEWS, BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL, BLOOMBERG TERMINAL and BLOOMBERG.COM. Absence of any trademark or service mark from this list does not waive Bloomberg\u2019s intellectual property rights in that name, mark or logo. All rights reserved. \u00a9 2025 Bloomberg.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <style>section[data-anchor=row-6a09a7bec2a74]::before {\n\t\t\t\tbackground-color: #f4f4f9;\n\t\t\t}<\/style>\n    <section class=\"bbg-row bg--custom-color  bg--f4f4f9 text--black bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09a7bec2a74'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h3>Related Content<\/h3>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-4 bbg-column--halign-right\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<div\n  id=\"cta_8742953390341669023\"\n  class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-cta icon icon-arrow\">\n  <style>\n    \n    \n    \n  <\/style>\n  <div\n    class=\"bbg-cta-link link-holder\"\n    data-links-type=\"cta-links\">\n    <p class=\"bbg-cta-p right\">\n      <a\n        class=\"bbg-cta-link link\"\n        href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/tag\/terminal\/\"\n        target=\"\"\n        rel=\"\"\n        data-section-name=\"View all\"\n        >\n                      View all\n                <\/a>\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <script>\n    window.feed = window.feed || {};\n    window.feed['6a09a7bec5d20'] = {\"config\":{\"uuid\":\"\",\"title\":\"\",\"filter_label\":\"\",\"post_type\":\"post\",\"order_by\":\"date\",\"direction\":\"desc\",\"show_date\":\"no\",\"show_excerpt\":\"no\",\"display\":\"limit\",\"filter\":\"OR\",\"max_items\":\"3\",\"skip_cache\":\"no\",\"feed_style\":\"grid\",\"published_date\":\"\",\"show_cta\":\"\",\"featured_image\":\"yes\",\"el_class\":\"\",\"terms_post\":\"\",\"terms_page\":\"\",\"terms_attachment\":\"\",\"terms_webinar\":\"\",\"terms_bbmegamenu\":\"\",\"terms_directory\":\"\",\"terms_datalayer\":\"\",\"terms_templatera\":\"\",\"terms_bbg-fourofour\":\"\",\"terms_reusable\":\"\",\"terms_cookie_items\":\"\",\"terms_bbl_email_subscriber\":\"\",\"terms_dynamic_table_ticker\":\"\",\"terms_bfix\":\"\",\"terms_quicklinks\":\"\",\"terms_interstitial\":\"\",\"terms_slide\":\"\",\"terms_gated_content_form\":\"\",\"terms_site_alert\":\"\",\"terms_country\":\"\",\"terms_region\":\"\",\"terms\":\"\"},\"cpt\":{\"name\":\"post\",\"label\":\"Posts\",\"labels\":{\"name\":\"Posts\",\"singular_name\":\"Post\",\"add_new\":\"Add New\",\"add_new_item\":\"Add New Post\",\"edit_item\":\"Edit Post\",\"new_item\":\"New Post\",\"view_item\":\"View Post\",\"view_items\":\"View Posts\",\"search_items\":\"Search Posts\",\"not_found\":\"No posts found.\",\"not_found_in_trash\":\"No posts found in Trash.\",\"parent_item_colon\":null,\"all_items\":\"All Posts\",\"archives\":\"Post Archives\",\"attributes\":\"Post Attributes\",\"insert_into_item\":\"Insert into post\",\"uploaded_to_this_item\":\"Uploaded to this post\",\"featured_image\":\"Featured image\",\"set_featured_image\":\"Set featured image\",\"remove_featured_image\":\"Remove featured image\",\"use_featured_image\":\"Use as featured image\",\"filter_items_list\":\"Filter posts list\",\"filter_by_date\":\"Filter by date\",\"items_list_navigation\":\"Posts list navigation\",\"items_list\":\"Posts list\",\"item_published\":\"Post published.\",\"item_published_privately\":\"Post published privately.\",\"item_reverted_to_draft\":\"Post reverted to draft.\",\"item_trashed\":\"Post trashed.\",\"item_scheduled\":\"Post scheduled.\",\"item_updated\":\"Post updated.\",\"item_link\":\"Post Link\",\"item_link_description\":\"A link to a post.\",\"menu_name\":\"Posts\",\"name_admin_bar\":\"Post\"},\"description\":\"\",\"public\":true,\"hierarchical\":false,\"exclude_from_search\":false,\"publicly_queryable\":true,\"show_ui\":true,\"show_in_menu\":true,\"show_in_nav_menus\":true,\"show_in_admin_bar\":true,\"menu_position\":5,\"menu_icon\":\"dashicons-admin-post\",\"capability_type\":\"post\",\"map_meta_cap\":true,\"register_meta_box_cb\":null,\"taxonomies\":[],\"has_archive\":false,\"query_var\":false,\"can_export\":true,\"delete_with_user\":true,\"template\":[],\"template_lock\":false,\"_builtin\":true,\"_edit_link\":\"post.php?post=%d\",\"cap\":{\"edit_post\":\"edit_post\",\"read_post\":\"read_post\",\"delete_post\":\"delete_post\",\"edit_posts\":\"edit_posts\",\"edit_others_posts\":\"edit_others_posts\",\"delete_posts\":\"delete_posts\",\"publish_posts\":\"publish_posts\",\"read_private_posts\":\"read_private_posts\",\"read\":\"read\",\"delete_private_posts\":\"delete_private_posts\",\"delete_published_posts\":\"delete_published_posts\",\"delete_others_posts\":\"delete_others_posts\",\"edit_private_posts\":\"edit_private_posts\",\"edit_published_posts\":\"edit_published_posts\",\"create_posts\":\"edit_posts\"},\"rewrite\":false,\"show_in_rest\":true,\"rest_base\":\"posts\",\"rest_namespace\":\"wp\\\/v2\",\"rest_controller_class\":\"WP_REST_Posts_Controller\",\"rest_controller\":{},\"revisions_rest_controller_class\":false,\"revisions_rest_controller\":{},\"autosave_rest_controller_class\":false,\"autosave_rest_controller\":{},\"late_route_registration\":false},\"taxonomies\":[{\"taxonomy\":\"post_format\",\"terms\":[{\"term_id\":33,\"name\":\"Link\",\"slug\":\"post-format-link\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":33,\"taxonomy\":\"post_format\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":12,\"filter\":\"raw\"},{\"term_id\":666,\"name\":\"Link\",\"slug\":\"post-format-link\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":666,\"taxonomy\":\"post_format\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":2,\"filter\":\"raw\"}]},{\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"terms\":{\"0\":{\"term_id\":3751,\"name\":\"Asia Centric\",\"slug\":\"asia-centric\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3751,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":51,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"1\":{\"term_id\":3741,\"name\":\"Bloomberg Expert Access\",\"slug\":\"bloomberg-expert-access\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3741,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":10,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"2\":{\"term_id\":3739,\"name\":\"Bloomberg Pro Tips\",\"slug\":\"bloomberg-pro-tips\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3739,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":59,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"4\":{\"term_id\":3743,\"name\":\"Functions for the Market\",\"slug\":\"ffm\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3743,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":7,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"5\":{\"term_id\":3770,\"name\":\"Market Dialogues\",\"slug\":\"market-dialogues\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3770,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":11,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"6\":{\"term_id\":3742,\"name\":\"Need to Know\",\"slug\":\"need-to-know\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3742,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":15,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"7\":{\"term_id\":3798,\"name\":\"Pricing Insights\",\"slug\":\"pricing-insights\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3798,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":6,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"8\":{\"term_id\":3740,\"name\":\"Terminal Essentials\",\"slug\":\"terminal-essentials\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3740,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":6,\"filter\":\"raw\"}}},{\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"terms\":{\"0\":{\"term_id\":3762,\"name\":\"Article\",\"slug\":\"article\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3762,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":1646,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"1\":{\"term_id\":3763,\"name\":\"Case Study\",\"slug\":\"case-study\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3763,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":41,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"3\":{\"term_id\":3765,\"name\":\"Podcast\",\"slug\":\"podcast\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3765,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":504,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"4\":{\"term_id\":3815,\"name\":\"Press Release\",\"slug\":\"press-release\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3815,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":81,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"5\":{\"term_id\":3766,\"name\":\"Q&amp;A\",\"slug\":\"qa\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3766,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":101,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"6\":{\"term_id\":3767,\"name\":\"Report\",\"slug\":\"report\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3767,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":78,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"8\":{\"term_id\":3768,\"name\":\"Video\",\"slug\":\"video\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3768,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":135,\"filter\":\"raw\"}}}],\"excluded_taxonomies\":{\"\":[]},\"post_id\":120792};\n<\/script>\n<div class=\"feed\" data-id=\"6a09a7bec5d20\"><\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-none bbg-row--margin-top-normal bbg-row--margin-bottom-normal bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a09a7bec6cd5'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <div\n    class=\"bbg-column\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div class=\"bbg-interstitial\" aria-label=\"interstitial\" tabindex=\"0\">\n\t<style>\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\tbackground:#e6f3ff;\n\t\t\tpadding: 104px;\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t}\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content, .bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content p{\n\t\t\tcolor:black;\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 768px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 32px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 480px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 18px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t<\/style>\n\t<div class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-card  bbg-card-dark bbg-card_hasCta has_interstitial\" id=\"card_2\" data-card_type=\"no_image\">\n  \n  \n  <div class=\"bbg-card__innerwrapper\">\n    <div class=\"bbg-card__content\">\n      \n      \n                      <h3 class=\"bbg-card__title\">Get insights delivered to your inbox<\/h3>\n      \n              <div class=\"bbg-card__wysiwyg bb-wysiwyg\"><p>Sign up for Bloomberg Professional Services newsletter<\/p>\n<\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n          \n<div\n  id=\"cta_2857861504145622138\"\n  class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-cta icon icon-arrow\">\n  <style>\n    \n    \n    \n  <\/style>\n  <div\n    class=\"bbg-cta-link link-holder\"\n    data-links-type=\"cta-links\">\n    <p class=\"bbg-cta-p right\">\n      <a\n        class=\"bbg-cta-link link interstitial_cta\"\n        href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/newsletter\/\"\n        target=\"\"\n        rel=\"\"\n        data-section-name=\"\"\n                role=\"button\"\n        aria-label=\"Learn more\"\n        >\n                <\/a>\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n      <\/div>\n\n  <\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Russell 2000 remains discounted with limited catalysts, though easing rates and trade tensions could spark gains. Bloomberg Intelligence&#8217;s latest sector rotation model favors utilities, financials, tech, and industrials.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1938,"featured_media":120813,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"template-article.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":"453","footnotes":""},"categories":[453,444],"tags":[565,454,577,3778],"series":[],"class_list":["post-120792","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markets","category-trading","tag-bloomberg-intelligence","tag-equities","tag-research","tag-terminal","type-article"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.11 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Mid-year outlook: North American small-cap equities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Russell 2000 remains discounted with limited catalysts, though easing rates and trade tensions could spark gains. Bloomberg Intelligence&#039;s latest sector rotation model favors utilities, financials, tech, and industrials.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mid-year outlook: North American small-cap equities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Russell 2000 remains discounted with limited catalysts, though easing rates and trade tensions could spark gains. Bloomberg Intelligence&#039;s latest sector rotation model favors utilities, financials, tech, and industrials.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Bloomberg Professional Services\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-07-02T14:21:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-07-02T20:36:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2F367747020-2-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"4000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"2667\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"emincer2\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@theterminal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@theterminal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"emincer2\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"emincer2\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/2bbaed889456449ebb090d7bf4202a98\"},\"headline\":\"Mid-year outlook: North American small-cap equities\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-07-02T14:21:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-07-02T20:36:40+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/\"},\"wordCount\":\"1632\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Bloomberg Intelligence\",\"Equities\",\"Research\",\"Terminal\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Markets\",\"Trading\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/\",\"name\":\"Mid-year outlook: North American small-cap equities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-07-02T14:21:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-07-02T20:36:40+00:00\",\"description\":\"The Russell 2000 remains discounted with limited catalysts, though easing rates and trade tensions could spark gains. Bloomberg Intelligence's latest sector rotation model favors utilities, financials, tech, and industrials.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/\",\"name\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png\",\"width\":\"512\",\"height\":\"103\",\"caption\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/bloomberg\/\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/showcase\/bloomberg-professional-service\/\",\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/theterminal\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/2bbaed889456449ebb090d7bf4202a98\",\"name\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Mid-year outlook: North American small-cap equities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services","description":"The Russell 2000 remains discounted with limited catalysts, though easing rates and trade tensions could spark gains. Bloomberg Intelligence's latest sector rotation model favors utilities, financials, tech, and industrials.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Mid-year outlook: North American small-cap equities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services","og_description":"The Russell 2000 remains discounted with limited catalysts, though easing rates and trade tensions could spark gains. Bloomberg Intelligence's latest sector rotation model favors utilities, financials, tech, and industrials.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/","og_site_name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp","article_published_time":"2025-07-02T14:21:25+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-07-02T20:36:40+00:00","og_image":[{"width":4000,"height":2667,"url":"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2F367747020-2-1.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"emincer2","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@theterminal","twitter_site":"@theterminal","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"emincer2","Est. reading time":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/"},"author":{"name":"emincer2","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/2bbaed889456449ebb090d7bf4202a98"},"headline":"Mid-year outlook: North American small-cap equities","datePublished":"2025-07-02T14:21:25+00:00","dateModified":"2025-07-02T20:36:40+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/"},"wordCount":"1632","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization"},"keywords":["Bloomberg Intelligence","Equities","Research","Terminal"],"articleSection":["Markets","Trading"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/","name":"Mid-year outlook: North American small-cap equities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-07-02T14:21:25+00:00","dateModified":"2025-07-02T20:36:40+00:00","description":"The Russell 2000 remains discounted with limited catalysts, though easing rates and trade tensions could spark gains. Bloomberg Intelligence's latest sector rotation model favors utilities, financials, tech, and industrials.","inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/midyear-outlook-north-american-small-cap-equities\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/","name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization","name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png","width":"512","height":"103","caption":"Bloomberg Professional Services"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/bloomberg\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/showcase\/bloomberg-professional-service\/","https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp","https:\/\/twitter.com\/theterminal"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/2bbaed889456449ebb090d7bf4202a98","name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120792","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1938"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120792"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120792\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120988,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120792\/revisions\/120988"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/120813"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120792"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120792"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120792"},{"taxonomy":"post_series","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/series?post=120792"},{"taxonomy":"type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/type?post=120792"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}