{"id":113497,"date":"2025-04-16T11:36:52","date_gmt":"2025-04-16T15:36:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/"},"modified":"2025-04-16T11:40:01","modified_gmt":"2025-04-16T15:40:01","slug":"modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market","status":"publish","type":[3762],"link":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Modeling the impact of tariffs on the global stock market"},"content":{"rendered":"<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-compact row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a0c47334e3a7'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-7\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-spacer bbg-spacer--lg\"\n    >\n<\/div><div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p class=\"small\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #0062dd;\">ARTICLE<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div\n    class=\"bbg-spacer bbg-spacer--sm\"\n    >\n<\/div>    <h1 class=\"bbg-metadata bbg-metadata--title\">Modeling the impact of tariffs on the global stock market<\/h1>\n<div\n    class=\"bbg-spacer\"\n        style=\"height: 50px !important\"\n    >\n<\/div>    <ul class=\"bbg-categories_list\">\n                    <li>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/category\/financial-services\/\" rel=\"category tag\">\n                    Financial Services\n                <\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                    <li>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/category\/markets\/\" rel=\"category tag\">\n                    Markets\n                <\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                    <li>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/category\/trading\/\" rel=\"category tag\">\n                    Trading\n                <\/a>\n            <\/li>\n            <\/ul>\n<\/p>\n\n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-5\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-left\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:100%\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"5454\" height=\"3635\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/10\/364745057-1.jpg\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-full\" alt=\"Stock market performance\" title=\"Stock Market Performance\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/10\/364745057-1.jpg 5454w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/10\/364745057-1.jpg 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/10\/364745057-1.jpg 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/10\/364745057-1.jpg 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/10\/364745057-1.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/10\/364745057-1.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/10\/364745057-1.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 5454px) 100vw, 5454px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-none row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a0c47335ae49'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-6 bbg-column--m-width-6\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <p>    <p class=\"bbg-metadata bbg-metadata--date\">April 16, 2025<\/p>\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p><strong>Bloomberg Professional Services<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2 bbg-column--valign-middle bbg-column--m-width-2 bbg-column--s-padding-right-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div class=\"bb-tts\"\n\tdata-selector=\"main\"\n\tdata-label=\"Speak this page\"\n\tdata-custom-play=\"Play\"\n\tdata-custom-pause=\"Pause\"\n\tdata-custom-stop=\"Stop\"\n\tdata-overlay=\"false\"\n\tdata-invert=\"false\"\n\tdata-no-time=\"false\"\n\tdata-no-button-text=\"false\"\n\tdata-one-button=\"true\"\n\tdata-one-style=\"true\"\n\tdata-hide-stop=\"true\"\n\tdata-voice=\"Gordon\"\n\tdata-pitch=\"1\"\n\tdata-speed=\"1\"\n\tdata-align=\"flex-start\"\n>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-compact row-padding--bottom-compact bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a0c47335df16'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p><em>This article was written by <\/em><em>Jose Menchero and Tizian Otto, Portfolio and Analytics Research <\/em><em>at Bloomberg.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Since returning to office, President Trump has promised to utilize tariffs as a tool to remake the global economy. His stated goals were to reduce trade imbalances, restore \u201cfairness\u201d in trade, and ultimately bring manufacturing jobs back into the United States.<\/p>\n<p>On April 2, 2025, referred to by administration officials as \u201cLiberation Day,\u201d the US government unveiled its new tariff policy. It is based on two components: (1) A universal import tariff (a baseline 10% tariff on all imported goods), and (2) reciprocal tariffs (additional tariffs tailored to match the duties that other countries impose on US products, affecting imports from 90 nations).<\/p>\n<p>These American tariffs prompted vows of retaliation from America\u2019s leading trading partners, including China, Canada, the EU, and the UK. Global financial markets reacted swiftly: Prices tumbled, volatility spiked, and the specter of a global financial meltdown loomed large.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-none row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--margin-top-compact bbg-row--margin-bottom-compact bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a0c473360058'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <div\n    class=\"bbg-column\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div class=\"bbg-interstitial\" aria-label=\"interstitial\" tabindex=\"0\">\n\t<style>\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\tbackground: url(https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/BS_BPS_Banner_Interstitial_2600x500.png);\n\t\t\t\tbackground-repeat: no-repeat;\n\t\t\t\tbackground-position: center center;\n\t\t\t\tbackground-size: cover;\n\t\t\tpadding: 104px;\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t}\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content, .bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content p{\n\t\t\tcolor:white;\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 768px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 32px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 480px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_1.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 18px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t<\/style>\n\t<div class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-card  bbg-card-dark bbg-card_hasCta has_interstitial\" id=\"card_1\" data-card_type=\"no_image\">\n  \n  \n  <div class=\"bbg-card__innerwrapper\">\n    <div class=\"bbg-card__content\">\n      \n      \n                      <h3 class=\"bbg-card__title\">Global Asset Managers 2025 Outlook<\/h3>\n      \n              <div class=\"bbg-card__wysiwyg bb-wysiwyg\"><p>Access the report<\/p>\n<\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n          \n<div\n  id=\"cta_5557287792212067012\"\n  class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-cta icon icon-arrow\">\n  <style>\n    \n    \n    \n  <\/style>\n  <div\n    class=\"bbg-cta-link link-holder\"\n    data-links-type=\"cta-links\">\n    <p class=\"bbg-cta-p right\">\n      <a\n        class=\"bbg-cta-link link interstitial_cta\"\n        href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/explore\/global-asset-managers-2025-outlook\/\"\n        target=\"\"\n        rel=\"\"\n        data-section-name=\"\"\n                role=\"button\"\n        aria-label=\"Learn more\"\n        >\n                <\/a>\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n      <\/div>\n\n  <\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-compact row-padding--bottom-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a0c4733667c5'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <p><div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>Just days later, in an attempt to stabilize financial markets, the US government announced a 90-day suspension of the new tariffs for select countries. Although the announcement was made after European markets had closed, it sparked a powerful rally in US equities, which posted their largest daily gain since the Global Financial Crisis.<\/p>\n<p>In this article, we study the impact of these tariffs on the stock market using both the MAC3 Global Equity Model and the MAC3 US Equity Model. In particular, we analyze which factors have been most adversely impacted, and which factors have benefited. We also employ the factor returns to illustrate the \u201cwhipsaw\u201d effect that occurred when the US suddenly paused the tariffs.<\/p>\n<h2>Risk model framework<\/h2>\n<p>For the analysis that follows, we employ two versions of the MAC3 Risk Model. The Global Equity Model consists of one market factor, 14 style factors, 56 industry factors, and 49 country factors. The US Equity Model consists of one market factor, 14 style factors, and 39 industry factors (and no country factors).<\/p>\n<p>Factor returns are estimated by using cross-sectional regression to create pure factor portfolios, which have unit exposure to the target factor and zero exposure to all other factors. The market factor portfolio is 100% net long and essentially represents the cap-weighted market portfolio. All other pure factor portfolios are strictly dollar neutral. Style factors represent important sources of risk and return that are related to characteristics of the stock (e.g., momentum, size, etc.). The associated pure factor portfolios have unit exposure to the target style, zero exposures to all other styles, and have zero return contribution from industries and countries. Country pure factor portfolios are long a portfolio with unit exposure to the country, are short an equal dollar amount of the market, and have zero exposure to every style factor and zero return contribution from industries. In other words, country pure factor portfolios explain the return of the country net of the market and net of styles and industries. Similarly, industry pure factor portfolios explain the return of the industry net of the market, styles, and countries.<\/p>\n<h2>Factor return movements<\/h2>\n<p>We begin by analyzing the tariff-induced stock market meltdown from the start of 02-Apr-2025 to the end of 08-Apr-2025 (five trading days) through the lens of the MAC3 Global Equity Model. We standardize factor returns into z-scores by taking the cumulative five-day returns and dividing them by the one-week volatility forecast.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"316\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor1.jpg\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"Figure 1\" title=\"factor1\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor1.jpg 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor1.jpg 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor1.jpg 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor1.jpg 192w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor1.jpg 1014w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>In Figure 1, we report the z-scores over this period for three different factor groups (market\/style factors, industry factors, and country factors). Note that we retrieve factor volatility forecasts from the diagonal entries of the estimated factor covariance matrix. Those numbers represent volatility estimates for the true underlying factors and do not include the idiosyncratic risk component required to forecast volatility of the pure factor portfolios. For well diversified pure factor portfolios with strong underlying factors, the effects on z-scores are rather small and the findings in both cases are qualitatively similar. The bar charts illustrate the stock market reactions in the aftermath of \u201cLiberation Day.\u201d The GL Market factor shows a z-score of -6.17, indicating a massive negative return shock across the stock markets around the globe. The market-related factors such as Residual Volatility and Beta were also hit hard. This makes sense, since high-beta stocks and high-volatility stocks tend to underperform in sharp market downturns. On the positive side, we see that the return to the Profit factor was strongly positive, reflecting a classic \u201cflight-to-quality\u201d commonly observed during crisis periods.<\/p>\n<p>At the industry level, we see that the hardest-hit factors were Consumer Electronics, Oil Exploration &amp; Production, and Electronic Components. Given the massive concentration of consumer electronics manufactured in China, it is natural that firms in these industries would be hard hit by the threat of tariffs. Similarly, given the fear of a global economic recession induced by the tariffs, it is not surprising that firms in the Energy sector would also underperform. The top-performing industries were in the Consumer Staples and Health Care sectors. Given the domestic nature of these industries, it is no surprise that these industries would outperform in a market threatened by tariffs. Interestingly, the US country factor was the worst-performing country, with a z-score of -3.17.<\/p>\n<p>Since the 90-day tariff suspension was announced after European markets had closed, analyzing the impact of the pause using the 09-Apr-2025 factor returns from the MAC3 Global Equity Model would be misleading. Instead, we analyze the effect of this announcement using the MAC3 US Equity Model. In this case, we convert the 09-Apr-2025 factor returns into z-scores by dividing them with the one-day predicted volatility at the start of 09-Apr-2025. In Figure 2, we plot the respective z-scores for style and industry factor groups.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"\" class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-single-image align-center\">\n    <figure class=\"bbg-single-image__figure\" style=\"max-width:1024px\">\n                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"315\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor2.jpg\" class=\"bbg-single-image__image attachment-large\" alt=\"Figure 2\" title=\"factor2\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor2.jpg 800w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor2.jpg 552w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor2.jpg 768w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor2.jpg 192w, https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/resize?width=auto&amp;type=webp&amp;url=https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/professional\/sites\/41\/factor2.jpg 1016w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\n        \n            <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<p>For the style factors, what stand out are the large positive returns to the Market factor and the Beta factor. For the industry factors, we see that Banks and Specialty Finance had the worst performance, while Airlines and Semiconductors performed best.<\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>Recent shifts in US tariff policies have renewed global trade tensions, sending tariff-induced shockwaves through international financial markets. As detailed in the analysis using our MAC3 Equity Models, the market reactions following \u201cLiberation Day\u201d illustrate the extent to which geopolitical uncertainty and anticipated trade disruptions influence investor confidence. The sharp decline and subsequent rebound across global equity markets (along with distinct return patterns at the style, industry, and country levels) underscores the far-reaching implications of this new phase in international trade. With market volatility elevated, these developments signal a pivotal moment for global economic dynamics and highlight the importance of analyzing the equity markets through the lens of a robust multi-factor model.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-none bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a0c47337167a'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-2\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div class=\"bbg-accordion transparent\">\n\t<input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"bbg-accordion-toggle-6a0c473372edd\">\n\t<div class=\"bbg-accordion-parent\" data-accordion-toggle aria-expanded=\"false\">\n\t\t<label class=\"bbg-accordion-label\" for=\"bbg-accordion-toggle-6a0c473372edd\">\n\t\t\t\t<h5 class=\"bbg-accordion-title\" data-label=\"Disclaimer\">\n\t\tDisclaimer\n\t<\/h5>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/label>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<div class=\"bbg-accordion-content\">\n\t\t<div class=\"bb-wysiwyg\">\n\t<p>The data included in these materials are for illustrative purposes only. The BLOOMBERG TERMINAL service and Bloomberg data products (the \u201cServices\u201d) are owned and distributed by Bloomberg Finance L.P. (\u201cBFLP\u201d) except (i) in Argentina, Australia and certain jurisdictions in the Pacific islands, Bermuda, China, India, Japan, Korea and New Zealand, where Bloomberg L.P. and its subsidiaries (\u201cBLP\u201d) distribute these products, and (ii) in Singapore and the jurisdictions serviced by Bloomberg\u2019s Singapore office, where a subsidiary of BFLP distributes these products. BLP or one of its subsidiaries provides BFLP and its subsidiaries with global marketing and operational support and service. Certain features, functions, products and services are available only to sophisticated investors and only where permitted. BFLP, BLP and their affiliates do not guarantee the accuracy of prices or other information in the Services. Nothing in the Services shall constitute or be construed as an offering of financial instruments by BFLP, BLP or their affiliates, or as investment advice or recommendations by BFLP, BLP or their affiliates of an investment strategy or whether or not to \u201cbuy\u201d, \u201csell\u201d or \u201chold\u201d an investment. Information available via the Services should not be considered as information sufficient upon which to base an investment decision. The following are trademarks and service marks of BFLP, a Delaware limited partnership, or its subsidiaries: BLOOMBERG, BLOOMBERG ANYWHERE, BLOOMBERG MARKETS, BLOOMBERG NEWS, BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL, BLOOMBERG TERMINAL and BLOOMBERG.COM. Absence of any trademark or service mark from this list does not waive Bloomberg\u2019s intellectual property rights in that name, mark or logo. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <style>section[data-anchor=row-6a0c4733748bd]::before {\n\t\t\t\tbackground-color: #f4f4f9;\n\t\t\t}<\/style>\n    <section class=\"bbg-row bg--custom-color  bg--f4f4f9 text--black bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a0c4733748bd'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <p><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-8\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div\n\tclass=\"bb-wysiwyg\"\n\t\t>\n\t<h3>Related Content<\/h3>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column bbg-column--width-4 bbg-column--halign-right\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    \n<div\n  id=\"cta_6031428992516880573\"\n  class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-cta icon icon-arrow\">\n  <style>\n    \n    \n    \n  <\/style>\n  <div\n    class=\"bbg-cta-link link-holder\"\n    data-links-type=\"cta-links\">\n    <p class=\"bbg-cta-p right\">\n      <a\n        class=\"bbg-cta-link link\"\n        href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/\"\n        target=\"\"\n        rel=\"\"\n        data-section-name=\"View all\"\n        >\n                      View all\n                <\/a>\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div><div\n    class=\"bbg-column\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <script>\n    window.feed = window.feed || {};\n    window.feed['6a0c473378a9c'] = {\"config\":{\"uuid\":\"\",\"title\":\"\",\"filter_label\":\"\",\"post_type\":\"post\",\"order_by\":\"date\",\"direction\":\"desc\",\"show_date\":\"no\",\"show_excerpt\":\"no\",\"display\":\"limit\",\"filter\":\"OR\",\"max_items\":\"3\",\"skip_cache\":\"no\",\"feed_style\":\"grid\",\"published_date\":\"\",\"show_cta\":\"\",\"featured_image\":\"yes\",\"el_class\":\"\",\"terms_post\":\"\",\"terms_page\":\"\",\"terms_attachment\":\"\",\"terms_webinar\":\"\",\"terms_bbmegamenu\":\"\",\"terms_directory\":\"\",\"terms_datalayer\":\"\",\"terms_templatera\":\"\",\"terms_bbg-fourofour\":\"\",\"terms_reusable\":\"\",\"terms_cookie_items\":\"\",\"terms_bbl_email_subscriber\":\"\",\"terms_dynamic_table_ticker\":\"\",\"terms_bfix\":\"\",\"terms_quicklinks\":\"\",\"terms_interstitial\":\"\",\"terms_slide\":\"\",\"terms_gated_content_form\":\"\",\"terms_site_alert\":\"\",\"terms_country\":\"\",\"terms_region\":\"\",\"terms\":\"\"},\"cpt\":{\"name\":\"post\",\"label\":\"Posts\",\"labels\":{\"name\":\"Posts\",\"singular_name\":\"Post\",\"add_new\":\"Add New\",\"add_new_item\":\"Add New Post\",\"edit_item\":\"Edit Post\",\"new_item\":\"New Post\",\"view_item\":\"View Post\",\"view_items\":\"View Posts\",\"search_items\":\"Search Posts\",\"not_found\":\"No posts found.\",\"not_found_in_trash\":\"No posts found in Trash.\",\"parent_item_colon\":null,\"all_items\":\"All Posts\",\"archives\":\"Post Archives\",\"attributes\":\"Post Attributes\",\"insert_into_item\":\"Insert into post\",\"uploaded_to_this_item\":\"Uploaded to this post\",\"featured_image\":\"Featured image\",\"set_featured_image\":\"Set featured image\",\"remove_featured_image\":\"Remove featured image\",\"use_featured_image\":\"Use as featured image\",\"filter_items_list\":\"Filter posts list\",\"filter_by_date\":\"Filter by date\",\"items_list_navigation\":\"Posts list navigation\",\"items_list\":\"Posts list\",\"item_published\":\"Post published.\",\"item_published_privately\":\"Post published privately.\",\"item_reverted_to_draft\":\"Post reverted to draft.\",\"item_trashed\":\"Post trashed.\",\"item_scheduled\":\"Post scheduled.\",\"item_updated\":\"Post updated.\",\"item_link\":\"Post Link\",\"item_link_description\":\"A link to a post.\",\"menu_name\":\"Posts\",\"name_admin_bar\":\"Post\"},\"description\":\"\",\"public\":true,\"hierarchical\":false,\"exclude_from_search\":false,\"publicly_queryable\":true,\"show_ui\":true,\"show_in_menu\":true,\"show_in_nav_menus\":true,\"show_in_admin_bar\":true,\"menu_position\":5,\"menu_icon\":\"dashicons-admin-post\",\"capability_type\":\"post\",\"map_meta_cap\":true,\"register_meta_box_cb\":null,\"taxonomies\":[],\"has_archive\":false,\"query_var\":false,\"can_export\":true,\"delete_with_user\":true,\"template\":[],\"template_lock\":false,\"_builtin\":true,\"_edit_link\":\"post.php?post=%d\",\"cap\":{\"edit_post\":\"edit_post\",\"read_post\":\"read_post\",\"delete_post\":\"delete_post\",\"edit_posts\":\"edit_posts\",\"edit_others_posts\":\"edit_others_posts\",\"delete_posts\":\"delete_posts\",\"publish_posts\":\"publish_posts\",\"read_private_posts\":\"read_private_posts\",\"read\":\"read\",\"delete_private_posts\":\"delete_private_posts\",\"delete_published_posts\":\"delete_published_posts\",\"delete_others_posts\":\"delete_others_posts\",\"edit_private_posts\":\"edit_private_posts\",\"edit_published_posts\":\"edit_published_posts\",\"create_posts\":\"edit_posts\"},\"rewrite\":false,\"show_in_rest\":true,\"rest_base\":\"posts\",\"rest_namespace\":\"wp\\\/v2\",\"rest_controller_class\":\"WP_REST_Posts_Controller\",\"rest_controller\":{},\"revisions_rest_controller_class\":false,\"revisions_rest_controller\":{},\"autosave_rest_controller_class\":false,\"autosave_rest_controller\":{},\"late_route_registration\":false},\"taxonomies\":[{\"taxonomy\":\"post_format\",\"terms\":[{\"term_id\":33,\"name\":\"Link\",\"slug\":\"post-format-link\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":33,\"taxonomy\":\"post_format\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":12,\"filter\":\"raw\"},{\"term_id\":666,\"name\":\"Link\",\"slug\":\"post-format-link\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":666,\"taxonomy\":\"post_format\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":2,\"filter\":\"raw\"}]},{\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"terms\":{\"0\":{\"term_id\":3751,\"name\":\"Asia Centric\",\"slug\":\"asia-centric\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3751,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":51,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"1\":{\"term_id\":3741,\"name\":\"Bloomberg Expert Access\",\"slug\":\"bloomberg-expert-access\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3741,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":10,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"2\":{\"term_id\":3739,\"name\":\"Bloomberg Pro Tips\",\"slug\":\"bloomberg-pro-tips\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3739,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":59,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"4\":{\"term_id\":3743,\"name\":\"Functions for the Market\",\"slug\":\"ffm\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3743,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":7,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"5\":{\"term_id\":3770,\"name\":\"Market Dialogues\",\"slug\":\"market-dialogues\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3770,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":11,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"6\":{\"term_id\":3742,\"name\":\"Need to Know\",\"slug\":\"need-to-know\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3742,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":15,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"7\":{\"term_id\":3798,\"name\":\"Pricing Insights\",\"slug\":\"pricing-insights\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3798,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":6,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"8\":{\"term_id\":3740,\"name\":\"Terminal Essentials\",\"slug\":\"terminal-essentials\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3740,\"taxonomy\":\"post_series\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":6,\"filter\":\"raw\"}}},{\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"terms\":{\"0\":{\"term_id\":3762,\"name\":\"Article\",\"slug\":\"article\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3762,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":1646,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"1\":{\"term_id\":3763,\"name\":\"Case Study\",\"slug\":\"case-study\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3763,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":41,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"3\":{\"term_id\":3765,\"name\":\"Podcast\",\"slug\":\"podcast\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3765,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":504,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"4\":{\"term_id\":3815,\"name\":\"Press Release\",\"slug\":\"press-release\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3815,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":81,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"5\":{\"term_id\":3766,\"name\":\"Q&amp;A\",\"slug\":\"qa\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3766,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":101,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"6\":{\"term_id\":3767,\"name\":\"Report\",\"slug\":\"report\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3767,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":78,\"filter\":\"raw\"},\"8\":{\"term_id\":3768,\"name\":\"Video\",\"slug\":\"video\",\"term_group\":0,\"term_taxonomy_id\":3768,\"taxonomy\":\"type\",\"description\":\"\",\"parent\":0,\"count\":135,\"filter\":\"raw\"}}}],\"excluded_taxonomies\":{\"\":[]},\"post_id\":113497};\n<\/script>\n<div class=\"feed\" data-id=\"6a0c473378a9c\"><\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<div  class=\"bbg-row-container\">\n    <section class=\"bbg-row  text--black row-padding--top-none bbg-row--margin-top-normal bbg-row--margin-bottom-normal bbg-row--full-bg-bleed\" data-anchor='row-6a0c473379c0e'>\n        \n        \n        <div\n            class=\"bbg-row--content\"\n                    >\n            \n            <div\n    class=\"bbg-column\"\n    style=\"\"\n    >\n    <div class=\"bbg-interstitial\" aria-label=\"interstitial\" tabindex=\"0\">\n\t<style>\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\tbackground:#e6f3ff;\n\t\t\tpadding: 104px;\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t}\n\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content, .bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta .bbg-card__content p{\n\t\t\tcolor:black;\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 768px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 32px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t\t@media (max-width: 480px) {\n\t\t\t.bbg-interstitial #card_2.bbg-card_hasCta{\n\t\t\t\tpadding: 80px 18px;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t}\n\t<\/style>\n\t<div class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-card  bbg-card-dark bbg-card_hasCta has_interstitial\" id=\"card_2\" data-card_type=\"no_image\">\n  \n  \n  <div class=\"bbg-card__innerwrapper\">\n    <div class=\"bbg-card__content\">\n      \n      \n                      <h3 class=\"bbg-card__title\">Get insights delivered to your inbox<\/h3>\n      \n              <div class=\"bbg-card__wysiwyg bb-wysiwyg\"><p>Sign up for Bloomberg Professional Services newsletter<\/p>\n<\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n          \n<div\n  id=\"cta_8543261716777667394\"\n  class=\"wpb_content_element bbg-cta icon icon-arrow\">\n  <style>\n    \n    \n    \n  <\/style>\n  <div\n    class=\"bbg-cta-link link-holder\"\n    data-links-type=\"cta-links\">\n    <p class=\"bbg-cta-p right\">\n      <a\n        class=\"bbg-cta-link link interstitial_cta\"\n        href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/newsletter\/\"\n        target=\"\"\n        rel=\"\"\n        data-section-name=\"\"\n                role=\"button\"\n        aria-label=\"Learn more\"\n        >\n                <\/a>\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n      <\/div>\n\n  <\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In this article, we study the impact of tariffs on the stock market using both the MAC3 Global Equity Model and the MAC3 US Equity Model.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1679,"featured_media":113504,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"template-article.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":"453","footnotes":""},"categories":[457,453,444],"tags":[550],"series":[],"class_list":["post-113497","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-financial-services","category-markets","category-trading","tag-buy-side","type-article"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.11 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Modeling the impact of tariffs on the global stock market | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In this article, we study the impact of tariffs on the stock market using both the MAC3 Global Equity Model and the MAC3 US Equity Model.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Modeling the impact of tariffs on the global stock market | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In this article, we study the impact of tariffs on the stock market using both the MAC3 Global Equity Model and the MAC3 US Equity Model.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Bloomberg Professional Services\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-04-16T15:36:52+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-04-16T15:40:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2F364745057-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"533\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"fgiacco\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@theterminal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@theterminal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"fgiacco\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"fgiacco\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/13fc771c8972a4c622b87e4830da005a\"},\"headline\":\"Modeling the impact of tariffs on the global stock market\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-04-16T15:36:52+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-04-16T15:40:01+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/\"},\"wordCount\":\"1756\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Buy-Side\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Financial Services\",\"Markets\",\"Trading\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/\",\"name\":\"Modeling the impact of tariffs on the global stock market | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-04-16T15:36:52+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-04-16T15:40:01+00:00\",\"description\":\"In this article, we study the impact of tariffs on the stock market using both the MAC3 Global Equity Model and the MAC3 US Equity Model.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/\",\"name\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png\",\"width\":\"512\",\"height\":\"103\",\"caption\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/bloomberg\/\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/showcase\/bloomberg-professional-service\/\",\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/theterminal\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/13fc771c8972a4c622b87e4830da005a\",\"name\":\"Bloomberg Professional Services\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Modeling the impact of tariffs on the global stock market | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services","description":"In this article, we study the impact of tariffs on the stock market using both the MAC3 Global Equity Model and the MAC3 US Equity Model.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Modeling the impact of tariffs on the global stock market | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services","og_description":"In this article, we study the impact of tariffs on the stock market using both the MAC3 Global Equity Model and the MAC3 US Equity Model.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/","og_site_name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp","article_published_time":"2025-04-16T15:36:52+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-04-16T15:40:01+00:00","og_image":[{"width":800,"height":533,"url":"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2F364745057-1.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"fgiacco","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@theterminal","twitter_site":"@theterminal","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"fgiacco","Est. reading time":"9 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/"},"author":{"name":"fgiacco","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/13fc771c8972a4c622b87e4830da005a"},"headline":"Modeling the impact of tariffs on the global stock market","datePublished":"2025-04-16T15:36:52+00:00","dateModified":"2025-04-16T15:40:01+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/"},"wordCount":"1756","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization"},"keywords":["Buy-Side"],"articleSection":["Financial Services","Markets","Trading"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/","name":"Modeling the impact of tariffs on the global stock market | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-04-16T15:36:52+00:00","dateModified":"2025-04-16T15:40:01+00:00","description":"In this article, we study the impact of tariffs on the stock market using both the MAC3 Global Equity Model and the MAC3 US Equity Model.","inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/insights\/markets\/modeling-the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-stock-market\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/","name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#organization","name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/image\/v1\/convert?type=auto&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.bbhub.io%2Fprofessional%2Fsites%2F41%2Flogo.png","width":"512","height":"103","caption":"Bloomberg Professional Services"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/bloomberg\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/showcase\/bloomberg-professional-service\/","https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bloomberglp","https:\/\/twitter.com\/theterminal"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/#\/schema\/person\/13fc771c8972a4c622b87e4830da005a","name":"Bloomberg Professional Services","url":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113497","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1679"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=113497"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113497\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":113503,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113497\/revisions\/113503"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/113504"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=113497"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=113497"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=113497"},{"taxonomy":"post_series","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/series?post=113497"},{"taxonomy":"type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/professional\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/type?post=113497"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}