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Inside AI’s rapid expansion: What investors need to know

A Silicon Wafer

Bloomberg Professional Services

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How is artificial intelligence changing markets and investment strategy? This article looks at how AI adoption across hardware, software, and enterprise services is driving structural economic change, influencing portfolio construction, and redefining market leadership as inference, intelligent agents, and data infrastructure become central to the next phase of digital growth. 

This article was written by Mike Pruzinsky, Equity Index Product Manager at Bloomberg Index Services Limited (BISL).

Welcome to part 1 of our 3-part blog series looking at how artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping markets and how Bloomberg Indices can reflect this transformation in market structure and sector dynamics. 

What is the economic impact of AI? 

In recent years, AI has moved from the edges of technology into the center of economic activity. What began with chatbots, and copilots is now powering hardware, cloud platforms, advertising, gaming, and enterprise services. 

The reach of AI is expanding across healthcare, retail, and financial services. It is improving productivity, providing sharper insights, and reshaping long-standing business models. Bloomberg Intelligence projects that generative AI alone could generate $1.8 trillion dollars in annual revenue by 2032, representing up to 16 percent of global technology spending.

AI Growth Projections

The projections in Figure 1 focus on future revenue. At the same time, they signal a broader change as AI becomes part of everyday operations and consumer behavior. This shift is transforming how the technology creates and distributes value. With adoption increasing, the debate is no longer about whether AI will find practical applications, rather the discussion now is understanding how AI-related themes may influence portfolio construction and long-term sector exposure.  

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The rise of inference and intelligent agents 

AI is currently defined by acceleration. The newest generation of reasoning models can interpret, analyze, and generate content across text, images, audio, and video. These capabilities allow them to handle more complex tasks, moving beyond simple prompt-and-response interactions toward real problem solving and decision making. 

Forecast AI Inference vs Training Revenue

One of the most important developments is the shift from training to inferenceTraining large models once dominated investor attention, because of the massive computing power required. Inference, which refers to the application of trained models in real-world settings, has become a focal point in AI commercialization discussions. Analysts had expected training to remain dominant for years, yet demand for inference has already surpassed expectations. This shift has drawn increased attention, as inference is associated with recurring use cases that may support a growing role in the evolving commercial landscape of AI. 

At the same time, AI agents are moving from experimental tools to essential components of everyday business and consumer life. These digital workers are now being embedded into core processes, from reviewing contracts and managing customer service to personalizing shopping experiences and assisting with software development. Bloomberg Intelligence projects that AI agents could support a market worth more than $270 billion dollars by 2032, highlighting their potential to reshape both enterprise operations and consumer interactions.  

Forecast Generative AI Software Spending

How is AI reshaping the hardware market?

The AI boom is not only about software. The physical infrastructure that enables AI is being rebuilt at scale. Semiconductors, hyperscaler capital expenditures, robotics, and IT services are all evolving to support the new demands. AI workloads already account for more than 20% of global server revenue, and that share is projected to rise to 40% in the coming years. 

The explanation is straightforward. Training workloads are intensive but occur in quick intervals, while inference workloads run continuously in real-world applications. This trend reflects a shift to more consistent infrastructure demand to account for real-world AI applications that require continuous processing power. Thus, these AI workloads may contribute to longer-term demand for hardware infrastructure, with growth supported by structural demand potentially reducing the cyclical volatility that has historically defined the sector. 

How is generative AI transforming workflows and advertising?

Copilots, coding assistants, and generative creative platforms are changing how people work. They streamline processes, create entirely new product categories, and open the door to subscription models and integration opportunities. Companies with proprietary data and scale are building competitive advantages that could be difficult for challengers to match. 

AI Catalysts Driving Adoption to Watch

As can be seen in Figure 4, AI is already shifting digital experiences for many consumers. Personalized recommendations, dynamic content generation, and more interactive creative tools are becoming standard. For companies that deliver scalable, AI-driven targeting, they are increasingly seen as well-positioned to benefit from a growing demand for these personalized experiences. 

How the AI boom can be tracked through Bloomberg Indices 

As AI adoption grows, market participants are increasingly turning to tools and data that can quantify its influence. Bloomberg provides these tools through its indices which offer thematic exposure. The Bloomberg Artificial Intelligence Total Return Index (BAIT Index) tracks a basket of global companies selected for their involvement in AI adoption across hardware, software, and services.

Meanwhile, the Bloomberg AI Value Chain Index (BAIVT Index) takes a more structured approach, by tracking companies aligned to the backbone of the AI ecosystem, from semiconductor designers and cloud hyperscalers to application developers and enterprise adopters. 

Comparing AI Index Performance

Bloomberg’s AI indices, including BAIT and BAIVT, are practical tools to track and measure this transformation. They offer systematic exposure to companies that are shaping and benefiting from the AI economy. As Bloomberg Intelligence has noted, the speed and scale of AI’s adoption across industries has been both rapid and far-reaching. 

Mapping AI’s evolving market impact 

This article is the first of a three-part series exploring AI’s investment landscape. 

In part 2, focusing on mapping the AI value chain, we will explain how chips, cloud infrastructure, models, and applications create value, and how Bloomberg indices measure that opportunity. 

In part 3, looking at AI Thematic Indices, we will explore how the rules-based approach identifies companies with material involvement in AI development or deployment, supported by the Bloomberg Intelligence analyst team. 

Together, these articles aim to provide investors with a complete framework for understanding how AI is transforming markets and how Bloomberg Indices can help measure and capture exposure to the theme. 

To learn more about Bloomberg Indices, click here. 

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