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Tyler Cowen

A Vision of Post-Pandemic New York

Once this is over, the city will be younger, cheaper, poorer and segregated in a new way. 

Once and future Manhattan?

Once and future Manhattan?

Photographer: Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images North America

At some point the risk from Covid-19 will recede but not disappear. What might America then be like? The largest cities in the country, and New York City in particular, will remain vital, but their futures will be clouded by serious health and economic issues.

Most of all, there will be an exodus of elderly residents. New York City will become even more the province of young people, assuming the role that Berlin has long played in Germany. That will be good for the city’s long-run vitality.