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  • 00:00CAROLINE: WITH MORE INSIGHT ON BREXIT AND THE RACE FOR 10 DOWNING STREET, WE ARE BACK WITH IAN BREMMER, FOUNDER AND PRESIDENT OF THE EURASIA GROUP. IS NO DEAL BREXIT THE MOST LIKELY OR LEAST LIKELY OUTCOME? IAN: I GUESS THE MOST LIKELY NOW OF ALL OF THE POTENTIA HOLIDAYS IS ANOTHER ELECTION. PARLIAMENT WORKS TO STOP HIM FROM GOING TO NO DEAL BREXIT BECAUSE OF THE ECONOMIC HIT THE U.K. WOULD TAKE. THERE ARE PLENTY OF WAYS YOU GET TO ANOTHER ELECTION. LIKELY, UNLESS THEY GET A DEAL BY THE END OF OCTOBER, IT SEEMS TO BE VERY SLIM. > > LET ' S SAY WE GET ANOTHER ELECTION. HOW MUCH SUPPORT IS THERE FOR A BORIS JOHNSON AND NO DEAL BREXIT? ALL OF THE SORT OF GLOOM AND DOOM WARNINGS THAT PEOPLE HAVE BEEN PUTTING OUT THERE SAYING BREXIT WILL SINK THE ECONOMY, BUT THE U.K. IS STILL DOING OK. HOW MUCH CREDENCE IS THERE? IAN: WE PUT THREE YEARS INTO BREXIT NOW AND U.K. IS CERTAIN UNDERPERFORMING ECONOMICALLY COMPARED TO THE CONTINENT, JOBS HAVE BEEN LOST, BUT THE RESISTANCE OF, WE VOTED FOR IT, WE WANT IT, THAT IS BASE AND THEY DO TURN OUT. THE BIG QUESTION WILL BE WHETHER OR NOT BORIS JOHNSON IS ABLE TO COBBLE TOGETHER A COALITION WITH NIGEL FARAJ THE BREXIT PARTY, WHICH HE IS CERTAINLY CAPABLE OF DOING. THEY ARE NOT STRONGLY IDEOLOGICAL. BOTH ARE TACTICAL. HE WILL LOSE A LOT OF TORIES IF THAT OCCURS. WE ALSO HAVE JEREMY CORBYN IN THE WINGS FROM THE LABOUR PARTY THAT ' S THE EQUIVALENT OF WHAT HAPPENS IF BERNIE SANDERS IS THE NOMINATION HERE IN THE UNITED STATES, DREAM SCENARIO FOR TRUMP, BUT IT IS NOT A GUARANTEE. THE ONE THING THAT WOULD ASSUREDLY BE WORSE THAN A NO DEAL BREXIT WOULD BE JEREMY CORBYN PREMIERSHIP.
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Ian Bremmer Says No-Deal Brexit is Most Likely Outcome

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July 22nd, 2019, 10:22 PM GMT+0000

Eurasia Group Founder & President, Ian Bremmer discusses a potential 'no deal' Brexit. He speaks on Bloomberg's "What'd You Miss?" (Source: Bloomberg)


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