Buffett Says Gains in Housing Fall Short of Equilibrium
“It’s coming back,” Buffett, 83, said yesterday during an event at the New York Public Library. “Pricing (SPCS20Y%) is better in almost all markets by a reasonable percentage from a few years ago. Housing starts are up somewhat. They still are not where I would regard as an equilibrium point, where they match household formation.”
A rebounding housing market has helped Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire’s subsidiaries that make carpet, bricks, insulation and houses. Some of those businesses have expanded in recent years through acquisitions as the industry recovers from the worst slump in seven decades.
Buffett has been predicting a real estate revival for years and positioning his company to benefit from it. He said in early 2010 that the turnaround would probably begin “within a year or so.” While that call proved wrong, he has since reiterated that the industry would rebound because of increasing population and limited supply.
Borrowing costs at near-record lows have helped stoke demand for homes and boost the U.S. economy. U.S. mortgage rates fell to a four-month low after a weaker-than-expected jobs report drove investors to the safety of the government bonds that guide borrowing costs. The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage dropped to 4.13 percent the week ended today from 4.28 percent, Freddie Mac said in a statement.
Sales (NHSLTOT) of new U.S. homes increased 7.9 percent to a 421,000 annualized pace in August, figures from the Commerce Department showed last month. In July, the rate was 390,000. The two-month period was the weakest so far this year.
“The country has made significant progress, since the fall of 2009,” Buffett said at the event. “This economy was hit in 2008 by something that never happened in my lifetime except for when I was one or two years of age.”
Buffett appeared alongside his son and grandson, both named Howard, to promote “40 Chances: Finding Hope in a Hungry World.” The book describes lessons the billionaire’s son learned from his years working to improve food security around the world. It was written with Buffett’s grandson and includes a foreword by the Berkshire chairman.
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