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Population Shifts Point to 2030 Congressional Seat Turmoil

The US Capitol in Washington, DC.

The US Capitol in Washington, DC.

Photographer: Nathan Howard/Bloomberg

The government’s latest US population estimates portend significant shifts in congressional seats away from Democratic-leaning states by the end of the decade if current trends continue.

Several states, including California and New York, lost seats in Congress following the 2020 Census as part of the process known as reapportionment, which adjusts congressional representation every 10 years based on updated Census figures. The latest estimates, released by the Census Bureau last month, show that the shift would have been even bigger had the changes been based on 2021 population data.