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Car Price Divergence Hints at More Painful Inflation Ahead

Better-off families can continue spending, preventing a cost drop for new vehicles and thwarting the Fed’s efforts.

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Illustration: George Wylesol for Bloomberg Businessweek

To understand why it’s so hard to get a handle on inflation, take a look at car prices in the US today. Used-vehicle prices are dropping at the fastest pace in decades, and the cost of a new car is still skyrocketing. How can this be?

The simplest explanation is that used-car prices went bonkers last year because there was so little inventory and there’s now a long way to fall. The more disturbing reason is the classic story of two Americas: Wealthier families have a lot of money saved, and they’re willing to pay a premium to get a bigger, fancier, new car. Over the past 18 months, almost every new vehicle was either presold or sold at full sticker price within a week of delivery, according to Cox Automotive.