Skip to content

Morgan Stanley Says Dollar Surge Tends to End in Crisis

  • Wilson sees 10% earnings headwind to US companies from dollar
  • Dollar Index is up 19% this year while US stocks are down 23%
Bloomberg business news
Watch: Michael Wilson says a surging US dollar could hurt stocks. Source: Bloomberg

The US dollar’s recent rally is creating an “untenable situation” for risk assets including stocks, and in the past this kind of dollar strength has led to some kind of financial or economic crisis, according to one of Wall Street’s most vocal bears.

“While hard to predict such ‘events,’ the conditions are in place for one,” Morgan Stanley’s chief US equity strategist Michael Wilson wrote in a note, referencing the 2008 global financial crisis, the 2012 sovereign debt crisis and the end of the tech-stock bubble in 2000. The US Dollar Index has risen 19% this year, while US stocks have plunged 23%.