Skip to content

Brazil Has Over 140 Voter Polls This Week. Here’s What to Watch

  • Slew of surveys is being released ahead of Oct. 2 vote
  • Lula widely leads polls, and his momentum seems to be growing
A voter casts a ballots inside a polling station in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. 

A voter casts a ballots inside a polling station in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. 

Photographer: Dado Galdieri/Bloomberg

A flood of opinion surveys is being released ahead of Brazil’s general elections on Oct. 2, which pits incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro against leftist challenger Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. There are more than 140 of them registered with the country’s electoral court, though the majority are for downticket races or state-by-state analysis of presidential votes.

Polls widely show Lula winning, with some pointing to a growing chance he could squeak out an outright win on Sunday. For that, he would need to get more than 50% of the votes excluding annulled ballots and those cast blank. If that’s not the case, the race will go to a runoff on Oct. 30.