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South Africa's Ruling ANC to Win 2024 Vote Even as City Support Plunges, Survey Shows

  • Ruling party’s support is increasingly rural and Black
  • Social Research Foundation surveyed 3,204 people in July
Supporters wearing African National Congress party colors wave a flag in Bloemfontein, South Africa.

Supporters wearing African National Congress party colors wave a flag in Bloemfontein, South Africa.

Photographer: Waldo Swiegers/Bloomberg

South Africa’s governing party is likely to win the country’s next national elections in 2024 even as its support slips further in major cities, a survey showed.

The African National Congress, which has led South Africa since apartheid ended in 1994, will probably win more than half the vote, although two thirds of the urban electorate are likely to turn to opposition parties, the Social Research Foundation said. Its conclusions were based on the views of 3,204 registered voters canvassed in July.