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Forecasters Trim Hurricane Season Outlook a Bit, Still Busy

Nathan Fabre checks on his home and boat destroyed by Hurricane Ida,, Sept. 5, 2021, in Lafitte, La. "We lost everything," said Fabre about the destruction of his home. Federal meteorologists said Thursday, Aug. 4, 2022, this hurricane season may not be quite as busy as they initially thought, but it should still be more active than normal. (AP Photo/John Locher, File)
Nathan Fabre checks on his home and boat destroyed by Hurricane Ida,, Sept. 5, 2021, in Lafitte, La. "We lost everything," said Fabre about the destruction of his home. Federal meteorologists said Thursday, Aug. 4, 2022, this hurricane season may not be quite as busy as they initially thought, but it should still be more active than normal. (AP Photo/John Locher, File)
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(AP) -- This hurricane season may be a tad quieter than forecasters initially thought, but it is still likely to be busier than normal, government forecasters and others say.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Thursday trimmed their hurricane season outlook from a 65% chance for above normal activity to 60% and increased the odds of a normal season from 25% to 30% because of uneven sea surface temperature, including a patch of cooler water off Portugal. Parts of the Atlantic are warmer than normal, but the variability had forecasters “backing off on the higher end” of their predictions, said lead hurricane outlook forecaster Matthew Rosencrans.