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JPMorgan Warns India Earnings Optimism Overdone as Stocks Falter

  • Consumption and economy weaker than expected, Mookim says
  • Nifty has already lost 12% since a record high in October 2021

The earnings optimism surrounding India’s domestic-focused companies may be misplaced as the economy will take longer to recover from a Covid-fueled slump, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Firms with a heavy reliance on local demand may face a slew of profit downgrades this year due to subdued consumption and wage growth, said Sanjay Mookim, JPMorgan’s head of research, India. The warning comes as sell-side analysts estimate overall earnings per share for companies in the benchmark NSE Nifty 50 Index to rise almost 17% over the next 12 months.