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Putin May Collect $321 Billion Windfall If Oil and Gas Keep Flowing

  • Goldman, IIF expect record current-account surplus for Russia
  • Embargo on energy exports can tip economy into deeper crisis
Oil and gas account for about half of Russia’s exports.

Oil and gas account for about half of Russia’s exports.

Source: Bloomberg

Russia’s economy has staggered through the first full month of the war with Ukraine but it may yet emerge with a sparkling balance sheet if some of its biggest trade partners don’t turn off the tap on its exports of energy.

For all the hardships visited on consumers at home and the financial chokehold put on the government from abroad, Bloomberg Economics expects Russia will earn nearly $321 billion from energy exports this year, an increase of more than a third from 2021. It’s also on track for a record current-account surplus that the Institute of International Finance says may reach as high as $240 billion.