A Half-Point BOE Hike in March Now a Coin Toss for Markets

  • Traders see 50% chance of a 50-basis-point rate increase
  • Bets mount after BOE’s first back-to-back hikes in 17 years

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey says he favors moving interest rates gradually to get inflation under control. 

Source: Bloomberg
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The Bank of England came within a whisker of hiking rates by half a percentage point this month, and traders are now seriously contemplating such a jump next time round.

Money markets have priced in an increase of 37.5 basis points to the bank’s rate in March, implying traders see a 50% chance of a half-a-percentage point hike. Four of the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee pushed for that in the February decision.